CHAPTER 14
INTRODUCTORY
THE preceding chapters have been almost without exception
heroically abstract. They have dealt with the “pure theory” of
international trade. To many a reader the assumptions and con-
clusions will have seemed to be no more than intellectual play-
things. These calculations of the possibilities of gain from
exchange of goods between the trading countries, these figures on
the barter terms of trade and their limits, this analysis of the forces
that determine the precise terms at which the terms settle them-
selves — all have an air of unreality. They resemble those cal-
culations of barter rates between individual exchangers which
appear in the books on pure economics, and the calculations which
analyze utility, marginal utility, marginal pairs, the familiar A’s
and B’s, the Primus, Secundus and Tertius of economic lore.
Thruout we seem to be dealing not with living human beings but
with puppets moved by the economist’s sleight of hand.
A similar air of unreality pervades our calculations on the flow
of specie from country to country, and the consequent changes
in prices and money incomes. True, these are not quite so ab-
stract as the calculations on the barter terms of trade. They seem
to come nearer to the actual world ; and it is precisely because they
have at least the appearance of a closer approach to reality that
the figures on prices and money wages have here been worked out
more elaborately than has been the practice in previous expositions
of the subject. Yet even so, the results have a smoothness, a
neatness, a specious conclusiveness, that must lead the man of
affairs and the economic realist to pause. Can things work out
quite so easily and automatically? Do the conditions of produc-
tion and exchange respond to changing prices in accord with this
151