CANADA
227
again thru the inflow of specie by way of New York — all this
could persist only because of the continuing loans. Had it not
been for the loans, the expansion of credit by the banks must have
come to a halt. As it was, notwithstanding occasional interrup-
tions, the round was repeated year after year. Specie did flow into
Canada: the entire circulating medium did enlarge ; in essentials,
what happened did conform to the previsions of theory.
Next, and again quite in accord with theoretical expectation,
prices in Canada rose sharply. Here, it is true, our experiment
becomes somewhat impure. Another factor complicated the situ-
ation, namely the advance in prices which was taking place the
world over. It will occur at once to the conversant reader that
the level of prices in all western countries had begun slowly to rise
in the years just before 1900, and that the rise became marked in
the decade succeeding; a consequence, as is generally agreed, of
the steadily increasing supply of new gold from the mines. What
then is to be expected in Canada, on grounds of theory, is a rise
greater than that appearing elsewhere. More particularly we
should expect a greater rise than in Great Britain, the lending
country. Precisely this is what happened. Whatever method
of measuring the advance in prices be applied — weighted or
“unweighted” mean, an index for all commodities or one for
selected commodities — Canadian prices rose much more than
British. Taking the year 1900 as the base (100), the weighted
index for Canada was 136 in 1912, 132 in 1913. It was but 113
in Great Britain for both years. And as compared with the
United States — a neutral country, so to speak — Canada again
showed an exceptional advance. During the earlier years of the
period, until about 1910, Canadian and American prices showed
a roughly parallel upward movement ; but in the later years, when
borrowing was on the largest scale, the Canadian went distinctly
higher.
For our purpose, however, this gross movement of prices is less
significant than the price changes of the several separate classes
of commodities — imported goods, exported goods, domestic
goods. On grounds of theory we should expect not a uniform