THE FRANCO-GERMAN INDEMNITY OF 1871 273
France closed out her part of the transaction in short order, Ger-
many spread hers over a considerable stretch of time. The German
Treasury, as we have seen, received bills of exchange in amounts
enormous for that age. The bills were by no means presented for
payment as they matured. They seem to have been nursed; and
the proceeds were utilized from time to time, in direct ways or
indirect, as occasion arose. True, considerable quantities were
turned into cash before 1873, especially for the purpose of securing
gold for the new currency. But large amounts, apparently the
major part, were fed on the market piece by piece, as financial needs
appeared. Sometimes the proceeds of maturing bills were invested
by the Imperial Treasury in foreign or domestic securities; some-
times they were left on deposit in London banks; sometimes they
were re-invested in still other bills. As time went on, the foreign
securities were gradually sold, the balances in London were drawn
out; the bills in which the proceeds of the original bills had been
re-invested were perhaps again replaced, but finally bills were
presented for payment as they matured. Thus the operations of
the German Government in the foreign exchange market were
spread over a series of years. Correspondingly, the effect on the
foreign trade of Germany — the movements of specie, of goods, of
securities for private investment — were spread over the ensuing
decade. And during that time, still other factors were modifying
Germany’s international trade. Her manufacturing expansion, so
remarkable in later years, took its first great start. Her agricul-
tural imports swelled in consequence of the rapidly increasing
movement of grain overseas. As is almost always the case over
considerable periods, no one factor was so dominant that its
effects stood out conspicuously. The consequences of the indem-
nity operations, prolonged as they were into a period that seemed
far removed from the initial stages, were intermingled with other
phenomena, were disguised, concealed, buried in a confused general
movement.
I suspect it is in some such way as this that we can explain other
similar cases that have puzzled inquirers. What are the conse-