106
‘INTERN ATIONAL TRADE
The stage of reversal which followed the crisis of 1890-91 shows
the operation of the same forces. The immediate consequences
are easily seen. The price of exchange soared high in 1891, and
remained high for several years thereafter. The large supply
of bills on London which before had been available from the loans
suddenly ceased. Those who needed to remit to London and were
bidders for sterling bills had to pay a higher price in Argentine
pesos. And this in turn made the prices of exported goods higher
and stimulated exports; conversely, of course, checking imports.
Such remained the situation for a year or two. Then ensued
conditions more like those of paper not changing in quantity.
The case becomes comparable to that in the United States during
the years just preceding the resumption of specie payments. While
the quantity of the Argentine paper remained stationary, the gold
premium declined; Argentina, like the United States, had the
fortunate experience of “ growing up to the currency.” There was
financial and industrial recuperation, and finally the return to the
gold basis. Those effects of paper money on international trade
which are here under review were thus confined to a compar-
atively short span of time, the few years just before the crisis
and just after it.
As regards imports, a qualification must be made similar to
that just suggested in the case of the United States. The quali-
fication is quantitatively even more important. The imports
into Argentina (exports from Great Britain) were in greater part
the direct result of the British loans. The funds borrowed were
largely spent at once on British goods, especially on railway equip-
ment; and these purchases would not have been made but for the
loans, being specifically induced, or at least made possible, by
them. The movement of exports under such circumstances takes
place, as has already been abundantly explained, in quasi-automatic
very movements themselves were spasmodic and confused. Very possibly a more
apt comparison with North American experiences could be made by citing an
earlier episode in the history of the United States than that considered in the first
part of this chapter; namely, that of the years from 1833 to 1837-39. Bor-
rowings, inflation, marked changes in imports and exports, then took place in a
manner and under conditions which have a curious similarity to those in Argentina
a half-century later.