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PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 28
MALINVAUD
Since we apparently have some time this afternoon, I may
perhaps be permited to come back on the motivations for my own
paper.
Professor KooPMANS has indicated this morning that one of the
reasons for his own research was to explore the consequences of
assuming a particular kind of utility for choices over time. This
was certainly also a part of my own motivations. But I was still
more strongly motivated by the need to see clearly what we should
do when we use models with several periods, as a guide for plan-
ning or programming.
We can certainly do some programming by considering timeless
models, Such models proved useful in various countries, in India
for instance. But multiperiod models are necessary for many que-
stions: the choice of investments, the discussion of public policies
nfluencing the saving ratio, even the study of consequences that
would follow a progressive reduction of the length of work.
In the multiperiod models now used by programming, terminal
conditions are imposed. For instance, the future up to 1970 is
divided into three periods and the capital structure to be in place
at the end of 1970 is fixed a priori. Since such terminal conditions
are, to some extent, arbitrary, one may have serious doubts on the
adequacy of the procedure.
My research should be considered as an attempt to explore fully
the nature of the solution in a much simplified model in order to
understand better the implications of assuming arbitrary terminal
conditions, and perhaps also to find new ways of dealing with the
difficulty. All this is done for a one commodity world, but should
give us some useful insights on what is likely to occur in more disag-
gregated models.
DORFMAN
Are you disagreeing with me:
[9] Morishima - pag. 38