THE OUTLOOK
scientific knowledge believe that the future will greatly
transcend what we witness to-day. , We do well to
remember, however, that the possibilities are, after all,
limited by the nature not only of Man himself, but also
of his environment.
There is no reason whatever to believe that the old
civilisations of China, India, Babylon, Egypt, Peru and
Mexico attained to anything like the great develop-
ments in science and invention which are characteristic
of modern times. All available historic records indicate
that recent human progress is unique. Man is living
in a larger and more difficult world than in the past,
and apparently for the first time. And to-day his
great problem is how to carry on the issues he has
raised. His intelligence compels him to have regard
to the significance of this problem.
When the question of the world’s past is reviewed in
a large way, one realises that the vicissitudes of Nature,
with which we are familiar through meteorological
studies, may possibly have greatly checked human
increase. On the other hand, however, the develop-
ments of agriculture, the facilities for transportation
which enable commodities to be transferred readily
to wherever they are found to be most serviceable,
and those accessions of knowledge which have made
the earth more productive—for example, schemes of
irrigation and fertilisation—open up possibilities of
supporting larger populations. The limits of this
possibility are by no means definite.
There is, moreover, another side to the whole ques-
tion. Human desires have no intrinsic limit, Man
tends to surround himself with more than is necessary
for the maintenance of life. He desires luxuries, not
only in foods but also in clothing, housing and mode
of living. Compared even with the general conditions
of living but two or three hundred years ago, the
elaborations of modern civilisation are very striking.