60 THE SHADOW OF THE WORLD’S FUTURE
regions, a knowledge of methods of combating yellow-
fever, sleeping sickness, hookworm, malaria, filariasis,
etc., have made it possible to live fairly safely in
almost any region. When, therefore, backward peoples
advance, or when they are replaced by more capable
and sturdy races, who know how to live in, and how
to deal with the territories they occupy, and who,
moreover, are in earnest about the general purposes of
life, then the countries in which they dwell will be
greatly improved, and will as a consequence carry
many more people to the square mile. The data do
not exist for evaluations of these possibilities in detail
for given countries and with any given standards-of-
living: for this reason any practical estimates have also
to be based upon general considerations.
Initially all countries depend upon primary pro-
ductions, and rely upon the exchange of their com-
modities, etc., for such secondary productions as they
need. Primary production, however, in general, does
not lead to dense populations, and it leaves a people
largely at the mercy of others in respect of political
control, and of the conditions of trade and commerce.
It is not too much to say that, when one has regard to
the risks of armed conflict, it is also evident that it
leaves a people subject to the risk of national ruin.
The significance of this matter was ably dealt with, as
far back as 1841, by Friedrich List in his Das nationale
System der politischen Ockonomie. It is because of the
limitations and dangers of a dependence solely upon
primary productions, that as nations advance they
find themselves compelled more and more to become
self-supporting, and therefore to promote secondary
industries. This in its turn tends greatly to increase
the population they can support, provided outlets for
their manufactured goods, in return for the raw
supplies needed, are found. In recent times the
economic history of the United States of America and