HOW POPULATION INCREASES 63
applied in estimating the possible population of the
whole world?» This is a question which we must
examine.
In the World Population Conference of August and
September 1927, we note that H. Brenier takes strong
exception to Prof. East’s estimate of 2-5 acres being
applied to the whole world. It may be, he says,
merely the figure for the United States, and he
declares that the half (?) of humanity does not eat beef,
but eats fish, mentioning the great quantities of fresh-
water fish in China. Moreover, the soya bean, con-
taining far more proteid than beef, 33 per cent. as
against about 21, gives quicker returns on a far smaller
area, and a more nourishing element. Also in Java,
people are living per capita on about one-fifth of an
acre, eating rice. We see at once not only how the
standard-of-living comes into the question, but also
that advances in practical dietetics come into it also.
Dietaries differ at least according to climates. Maurel
(teste HL. Brenier) estimates that a male weighing
55 kilograms, and performing light work, needs, say,
1650 calories in a hot climate, but as much as 2750
calories in a cold one.
If East’s estimate, however, could properly be
applied to the entire area of land-surface, 52-5 million
square miles, it would indicate that no less than
13,440 millions of inhabitants was the possible limit.
But if, on the other hand, it ought to be restricted to
the probable total of * productive land,” viz., 31-2 per
cent. of the above, the possible population would be
only about 4200 millions. One sees from this that we
must have regard to the possibilities of a better scheme
of culture for the world as a whole in order to estimate
its possible population.
If the United States proportion of 503 millions of
acres of highly improved land, out of a total of 1903
millions, could rightly be taken as representing the