NATIONAL ORIGINS PROVISION OF IMMIGRATION LAW 23
not make any allowance for the difference in fecundity. But in the
main division into the original native or colonial stock and the post-
colonial stock, that matter of fecundity, as Senator Reed says, was
automatically taken care of. So there the question does not arise.
But the colonial stock, having been once determined, had to be
further divided according to nationality—so much English, so much
Irish—and that was also the case as regards postcolonial stock, when
the total had been determined it had to be further divided by nation-
alities.
Now, in determining the nationalities, in determining what pro-
portion of the total colonial and of the total postcolonial stock was
German and what proportion was English, and so forth, we did not
make any allowance for differential fecundity. We went on the
assumption that the natural increase, in the long run, was the same
or practically the same for these different national stocks.
The Carman. Are there any further questions any member of
the committee desires to ask?
Senator Rerp. I have no other questions.
The Cramrman. Is there anything you would like to say, Doctor,
to the committee ?
Doctor Hrir. I would like to say in this connection that I do not
oelieve that that introduces any serious element of error.
The Crarrman. That is, what introduces so large an element?
Doctor Hrrr. The assumption that we made that the natural in-
crease of these various national stocks, German. English, and Irish,
and so on, was the same,
The CuamrmaxN. What was your assumption ?
Doctor Hrrr. That is the assumption which we made. We as-
sumed that the natural increase was the same. We assumed that the
Irish stock increased the same as the German; that the German stock
increased the same as the English, that is at the same rate. Most
people would say that that is not in accordance with the facts. They
would say, « Why, look at the French Canadians, look at the Irish,
and look at the Germans. How much more rapidly they breed than
the English stock does.” There is a decided difference at the present
time for about one generation, and then, when you get to the second
generation, the difference has largely disappeared.
Senator Coreranp. Have they become Americanized ?
Doctor Hur. When you get to the third generation, I do not be-
lieve you will find any difference in the natural increase, they have
become Americanized in that respect. There are some figures that
indicate that. ‘We have the figures that show that the second genera-
tion of any foreign stock does not have as many children as the first
generation. So I would say that there is no material error in the
assumption of equal rates of increase.
Senator CopeLanp. That is true of the old New England families?
Doctor Hrrr. Eminently true. The old New England families
increased in the early days just about up to the limit, I think you
might say that they had just about as many children as it was
physically possible for them to have. Of course, a great many of
the children died in infancy or childhood, but enough of them lived
fo result in very rapid increase of population through that period.
The Cruammaw. That is all, Doctor. Mr. White.