54 The Stock Market Crash—dAnd After
that actually the short interest in the market was
very small at a time when inevitably it would have
been extensive had considerable short selling occurred
earlier. This, in fact, was one great reason for the
‘air pockets’ in the market. One must always
remember that a short seller, when he sells, is forced
to become a compulsory buyer of stocks. In panics,
frequently the short interest provides the only effec-
tive demand for shares, since margin purchasers are
frightened or financially crippled, while investors
wait for the bottom of the decline before invest
ing. In 1914, when war broke out, the New York
stock market was fortunate in possessing a very
large short interest, and this fact accounts for the
remarkable resistance shown by the stock market
prices before the Exchange was compelled to close.
In 1929, the situation was very different. For years
bear traders had been very severely punished, and
there had been little short selling in the market and
practically no short interest. If we had had more
short selling during the summer, it would have of
course restrained the undue rise in share prices at
that time, and would have provided bids in the
market during October and November. The reason
for the organization of the so-called ‘bankers’ pool’
arose from just this fact of an inadequate short
interest in the market. Of course the Stock
Exchange questionnaire was not aimed to halt short
selling, although this perhaps was its psychological
effect.”
But as the panic proceeded, in part, at least,