24
MONEY
present. But people do not always pay on delivery:
they frequently induce the seller to let them have the
soods on condition that they will pay some time (in
all important cases at some definite time), after
delivery. The seller then gives the goods for nothing
at the moment because he contracts to receive a
certain agreed sum of gold at the agreed future
date. The buyer of the goods contracts to deliver
this gold at the future date. If both buyers and
sellers are influenced by some wave of sentiment
which makes them believe prices will go higher, the
prices at which these contracts are concluded will be
higher, whether there is any justification for the belief
or not.
History shows that war raises prices (lowers the
value of gold), and this seems very surprising to
those who regard gold as the sinews of war. If it
is the sinews of war, they think, it should rise, not
fall ; all belligerents seem to want money very badly,
and gold is the best kind of money and that which
they seem to want most. But all this is fallacious ;
money is not the sinews of war, and what the belli-
gerents want is not money but various things which
they hope money will buy. In their hurry to get
munitions they are ready to pay away all the money
they can acquire by taxes or by promising to pay
money (with interest and very likely a premium) at
some future date. Far from prizing money more than
usual in comparison with commodities and services,
they shovel out money and promises to pay money
with far less reluctance than in times of peace. As
for the special utility of gold, that metal is one of the
few which are of no direct use for military purposes.
A belligerent may sometimes think it useful to parade
a large stock of it, as more than one government
did during the war, because owing to the erroneous
beliefs of the public this may comfort his subjects