78
MONEY
views of what it will be in the future, but we do not
say that “ the price of sugar depends on confidence.”
The supply being taken as fixed, how much will a
given increase of demand send up the value of cur-
rency ? The question is not so often asked as the
corresponding question, “ How much will any given
addition to the supply raise prices?” because we
do not feel ourselves able to measure additions to
the demand as easily as additions to the supply.
But one example seems workable. Suppose that fo
a country with a particular currency of its own there
is added a new province one-tenth as large and with
exactly similar characteristics, which has just, by
some accident, lost all its own currency, and that
the annexing country creates no additional currency,
but allows the new province to supply itself as best
it can. We may look on this as providing, after
some initial disturbance, 10 per cent. of additional
demand. The people in the new province, wanting
a medium of exchange, would have to give people
in the rest of the country commodities and services
to induce them to part with some of their holdings
of currency ; these sales would send down the prices
of commodities and services, and correspondingly
zlevate the value of the currency. There seems reason
to believe that when things had settled down the
rise in the value of the currency would correspond
exactly with the increase of demand. If prices fall
from eleven to ten, and £10 consequently buys as
much as £11 did before, people will find it convenient
to hold only £10 of currency when they held fix
before. So to induce the old part of the country
to part with one-eleventh of its stock of currency, a
reduction of prices by one-eleventh will be necessary
and sufficient. This supports the doctrine that in the
absence of anticipation of future change the elasticity
of demand for money is “ equal to unity.”