CONTINUOUS BORROWING 233
for Australia since 1890, and corroborates the evidence accumu-
lated by Viner for Canada.
Still another effect, and, from the standpoint of fluctuations
in business, one of critical importance, is the effect of borrowing
abroad upon the regulation of credit. It is an economic dis-
advantage of the utmost influence that expansion by means of
borrowing should be initiated in one community, when the
control of that capital stream, and consequently to some extent
the control of domestic bank credit, is dependent upon the
decisions arrived at in another community, remote, independent,
and organized industrially in a vastly different manner. In
other words, it is a relatively easy matter for Australian banks
to regulate the momentum of development and to regulate the
flow of credit and hence to control the factors generating crises ;
but it is a relatively difficult matter, if not impossible altogether,
to prevent crises from developing when the check to expansion
is applied in London, and through causes that are only remotely
connected with Australian conditions. The only course of
action for the Australian banks when that check is applied is a
proportionate, or, since the stimulus to pessimism then operates,
a more than proportionate constriction of credit in Australia.
This contraction, since it is necessarily rapid, is almost certain
to cause depression or even crisis. And, in the position occupied
by London, dependent to such an extent upon world economic
conditions, and sensitive to a superlative degree to economic
fAuctuations in any quarter of the globe, this contraction at
the London end is always liable to take place more or less
suddenly.
Finally, and solely in the domestic field, the effect of borrowing
in stimulating imports must be further considered in relation to
government revenue. Owing to the operation of the Federal
tariff system the effect of borrowing is to inflate the revenue
from customs, since imports are accelerated. Thus a part, and
a relatively large part, of the capital imported becomes trans-
formed in the process of entering the Commonwealth into
current revenue which drains away along many channels.
Whether the uses to which this revenue is put are productive or
otherwise is beside the question, gince they are presumably
quite alien to the purpose for which the loan was floated in
the first place. This, of course, bears very closely upon the
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