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STOCK EXCHANGE AN INTERNATIONAL MARKET 515
paid for, foreign exchange rates afford an interesting and often
reliable index to the condition of a nation’s foreign trade bal-
ances. When America sells more goods and services to the
rest of the world than she buys from it, normally dollar ex-
change will tend to rise in foreign currencies, and foreign ex-
change rates decline in New York. Conversely, when we are
selling to the world less than we are buying from it, dollar
exchange will ordinarily tend to decline abroad and foreign
exchange rates rise in New York.
Yet the shifting of short-term bank credit will often mini-
mize or prevent such operations in the normal course of events.
If, for example, British sterling exchange begins to decline
in New York, speculators in foreign exchange may be tempted
to use their dollars to purchase sterling short-term banking
instruments in the hope of reselling them later when a higher
sterling exchange rate prevails. Also, interest rates will often
rise in a country whose currency is declining in the foreign
exchange market, and this may persuade foreign capitalists and
financial institutions to transfer their funds from the lower to
the higher interest country. This is one reason why central
banks tend to raise their discount rates when their home
currency is declining in the foreign exchange markets, and
lower them when it is rising.
Thus, owing to the supplies of liquid speculative capital in
the leading financial centers, to changes in comparative interest
rates in different nations, and sometimes to the conscious
manipulative operations of the leading central banks of issue,
considerable and frequent disparities in a nation’s trade bal-
ance with the rest of the world can be offset by the shifting
of bank credit, without resort to gold shipments.
The international shifting of bank credit to right a nation’s
unbalanced trade relations with other countries is therefore not
only swift and efficient but indispensable in the modern world.
Nor are its possibilities yet fully developed. The international
reparations bank established by the Young plan will presum-
ably fill a useful function in just this respect. Closer coopera-
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