224 THE FISCAL PROBLEM IN MISSOURI
capital value past and future incomes are also considered.
The result is that in a period in which the income is very low
or is declining rapidly the valuation will not represent a
capitalization of the income at the time. Since past, present,
and future incomes are considered in the capitalization proc-
ess, it follows that the variations in capital value are not so
marked as are those in income. In other words, in a period
of agricultural depression the decline in the value of the
property tends to lag behind the decline in income. There-
fore, a tax measured by the value of property in general
absorbs a larger proportion of income in a period of declining
income than in a period in which income remains more or less
constant.
Another factor may be traced to the assessment process.
Not all assessors make allowance for the decline in capital
value in assessing property. While the value of lands has
been decreasing in recent years, it is doubtful that the decline
in assessed valuations has kept pace with the decline in real
values. One aspect of this problem is that when a given
valuation is placed on the tax books, the average assessor
does not increase it or decrease it unless there has been a
marked change in the status of the property. The value of
every farm in Missouri changes somewhat from one June
first to the next, but it is doubtful that the valuations of
even one half of the farms in many counties are changed from
year to year, when the same assessor remains in office, unless
the valuation of lands in an entire county is changed during
the equalization process.
There is a wide variation in the profitableness of agriculture
among the several sections of the state. For example, in the
better agricultural sections in northwestern Missouri and in
the Missouri River Valley, it is doubtful that the farm tax
problem is serious in the case of those farmers whose property
is assessed at average figures for the county and other local
governments to the expenses of which they contribute.
Relatively good farms mean high valuations on which prop-
erty taxes are computed. High valuations result in a rela-
tively low rate of local taxation. On the other hand, it must
be admitted that agricultural land in a large number of
counties in southern Missouri is not of high quality. Assum-