PUBLIC SCHOOL FINANCE 257
and in others they can be adequately financed by local levies
considerably below the average for the state.
The population of Missouri is more than fifty per cent
urban. During the past decade the population of the rural
sections showed a decline. In most of the counties the
decline was large enough to be very significant in connection
with the present problem. On the other hand, the important
urban centers and many towns and villages showed increases
in population during the decade, which more than compen-
sated for the decline in the rural sections. It is not possible
to measure the extent of the decline during each year of the
ren-year period. For the present purpose, it may be assumed
that the decrease in rural population in the counties affected
was evenly spread throughout the period, and that the popu-
lation shift is likely to continue for at least some time.
The significance of this rural decline in relation to the
problem of public school finance is found in the fact that it is
a direct causal factor influencing the per capita cost and in
many instances the per pupil cost of maintaining the one-
teacher schools in a large number of the rural districts. The
per capita cost in such districts must increase unless the ex-
penditures for school purposes decrease as the population
declines. An increase in state apportionments could at the
most merely reduce the proportion of the expenditures
financed by local levies and could not reduce the absolute
costs or per capita costs. The decline in rural population
injects a variable into the problem of public school finance,
which may mean decreased efficiency because of inability to
maintain the previous length of term or increased per capita
cost, if the previous level of expenditures is maintained, and
increased per pupil cost in those districts in which the enroll-
ment shows a decline as a result of the decline in population.
The shift in population is probably the most fundamental
aspect of the school problem. The detailed statistics of the
fifteenth decennial census showing population by counties
and smaller governmental divisions will be extremely valu-
able as an aid in solving the problem. The ten-year trend in
population can be compared. with the trend in school enroll-
ment, and such a comparison should indicate the approxi-
mate change in per capita and per pupil costs in the sections
with declining rural population.