THE DEMAND FOR CURRENCY ”*
decreased demand for houses without finding any
alteration in the number or size of houses.
The effect of misguided speculation for the rise or
fall of the value of a currency is disguised, so far as
internal speculation is concerned, by taking the
form, in each individual case, of speculation for the
fall or rise of particular commodities. Very few
persons grasp the idea of a rise and fall in the value
of their own country’s money, and the Money Market
is a place where you deal in loans, not in money.
We have not yet risen to the height of having a
Currency Market in which we can buy and sell
future Board of Trade, Statist and other Index
Numbers. But direct speculation in the currency
of other countries is common enough, and is often
ill-informed enough to cause great disturbances of
values, instead of smoothing them down. Soon
after the war, the editor of an Athens journal was
unable to go to a certain restaurant there because
the waiters worried him with questions about the
future of Austrian crowns which they were holding.
When the British troops first went to Cologne, they
bought German marks because they saw that the
mark was ‘lower than usual.” It is known that
many milliards of the depreciated currencies are
held by foreigners. Such holding is, of course, a
pure addition to the usual demand for currency, and
tends to maintain its value for a time. Eventually,
however, the foreign holders decide to sell, and their
decision is much more likely to come at a time when
it will make a fall more precipitous than when it
will moderate a rise. This ignorant speculation of
foreigners has been the cause of many violent fluctua-
tions of currency values and is a great support of
the doctrine that they ‘depend on confidence.”
About that we need not say more than that the price
of sugar also is affected at any moment by people’s