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Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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fullscreen: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Identifikator:
1824422792
URN:
urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-217476
Document type:
Monograph
Title:
Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
Place of publication:
Amsterdam [u.a.]
Publisher:
North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.]
Year of publication:
1965
Scope:
XLVII, 1259 S.
graph. Darst.
Digitisation:
2022
Collection:
Economics Books
Usage license:
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Chapter

Document type:
Monograph
Structure type:
Chapter
Title:
On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
Collection:
Economics Books

Contents

Table of contents

  • Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
  • Title page
  • Le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • La semaine d'etude sur le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • L'audience et le discours du saint-pere
  • Les «semaines d'etude» et leur reglement
  • The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • Toward a verdict on macroeconomic simultaneous equations / Herman O.A. Wold, Universitets Statistika Institution - Uppsala - Sverige
  • Econometric analysis for assessing the efficacy of public investment / R. Dorman, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
  • Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
  • Dynamic structure and estimation in economy-wide econometric models / FranklinM. Fisher, Massachuetts Institute of Technology - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • Decision rules and simulation techniques in development programming / Henri Theil, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool - Econometrisch Institut Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Some observations on countercyclical fiscal policy and its effects on economic growth / Trygve Haavelmo, Universitetet i Oslo - Oslo - Norge
  • Balanced growth and technical progress in a log-linear multisectoral economy / Michio Morishima, Osaka University - Osaka - Japan
  • A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
  • Spatial organization and regional planning: Some hypotheses for econometric analysis / Walter Isard, Department of regional Science - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Penn. - U.S.A.
  • The rates of long-run economic growth and capital transfer from developed to underdeveloped areas / Wassily Leontief, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • The social transformation for national development / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institue - Calcutta - India
  • Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
  • Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.
  • Selection and implementation the econometrics of the future / Ragnar Frisch, Universitetet i Oslo - Sosialøkonomisk Institutt - Oslo- Norge
  • The economic framework of regional planning / Jan Tinbergen, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Conclusions
  • Contents

Full text

SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC. 
205 
Prof. KooPMANS’ « golden rule path »), the rate of interest of the 
economic system is determined independently of consumers’ utility 
functions. This theorem follows from Prof. KooPMANS’ own analysis. 
For, on the optimum path, the rate of interest must be equal to the 
natural rate of growth (which, in the particular case of a stationary 
economic system, is equal to zero). 
But this simply means that individuals’ preferences are not a 
determinant of the optimum rate of interest. It does not mean (as 
Prof. KooPMANS seems to fear) that any restriction comes to be im- 
posed on individuals’ preferences. To argue otherwise would sound 
to me rather similar to saying, in the usual case of a one-period pro- 
blem of utility maximization, that the fact that market prices are 
the same for all consumers imposes restrictions on individual prefe- 
rences. Traditional economic theorists have solved this problem a 
long time ago, by referring their analysis only to what happens at 
the margin. Individual preferences are accepted for what they are, 
however different from one individual to another they may be. Yet, 
given these preferences, each individual will push the consumption of 
each commodity to the point at which the ratios of marginal utilities 
are equal to relative market prices. This means that we can make 
definite statements about ratios of marginal utilities, without impos- 
ing any restriction on utility functions. 
Our case is similar. Consumers’ preferences may be quite dif- 
ferent at different levels of consumption, at different times, and for 
different individuals. Any social preference function expressing all 
these preferences may be equally different; and it must be accepted 
for what it is, without any restriction. Yet, if behaviour is to be 
rational, the consumption of each commodity will be distributed over 
time so as to equate marginal intertemporal rates of substitution in 
consumption to the externally given rate of interest. This is all we 
can say. 
Professor KooPMANS’ results have been obtained because he has 
added something else. He has imposed on utility functions at all 
levels (and not only at the margin!) the restriction that utility always 
differs by ¢ at anv two adjacent points of time. This restriction is 
4, Koopmans - pag. 69
	        

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