Full text: Migration and business cycles

APPENDIX f 
TABLE IIL.—CycLES IN MALE IMMIGRATION BY MONTHS, OR QUARTERS, 
1890-1914» 
Three-month moving averages of percentage deviations from trend, corrected for 
seasonal variation, and expressed in terms of their standard deviation 
(30.24 per cent) 
YEAR | JAN.| FEB. | Mak. | Apr. [May [JUNE |JuLy |Ave. | SEPT. | Oct. [Nov. | DEc. 
1850 i..... os =~OL8 0 heal LL hee 
ISOLA. 10.7 Ke Van 0S nc a EY Rs Ve 01 
S920. .... +1.30. . conve EB ee) 0.91—0. 3 —1.0—1.0(—0.6 
1893 |—0.9|—0.8 +1.3/4+2.1{4+2.3|+1.9+1.1{+4+0.2 '—0.7|—1.2|—1.5 
1894 ‘—1.6|—1.7 ! 2 TA a a a aad —1.1}—1.2|—1.3 
1895 |—1.4/—1.5 '—1.2 —0.7|—0.1/40.1{40.2|40.5|+0.5 +0.4/+0.1/—0.1 
1896 0 |+0.2 +0.7 +1.2/+0.8/+0.4/—0.3|—0.5|—0.8 —1.0—1.2|—1.3 
1897 —1.4/—1.3 —1.1 —0.8/—0.8—1.0—1.3|—1.2|—1.1 —1.1—1.2|—1.1 
1898 '—1.1]—1.0 '—0.9 —0.9—1.2|—1.2|—1.2|—0.8|—0 8 —0.7—0.7—0.8 
1899 —0.9[—1.0 —0.8 —0.5—0.4/—0.4/—0.5/—0.6|—0.3 —0.1/+0.1| © 
1500 '—0.1] 0 '+0.1 +40.2/+40.2 0.2 0 [(—0.3/—0.6 —0.8—0.8—0.7 
1901 |—0.4/—0.4 —0.2 —0.1f 0 |—0.2'—0.5/—0.6/—0.6 I 
1902 0 (40.3 +0.6 +0.7,4+0.6 +0.4 0 —0.1] 0 +0.140.3/40.2 
1903 +0.4/+0.5 +0.9 +0.9/40.9|+0.7 +0.5/+0.4|+0.4 +0.4 0 |—0.4 
904 '—0.91—0.8 -0.8 —0.6/—0.8]—0.7,—0.7|—0.6|—0.5 —0.3| © +0.8 
1905 '+1.2|+1.4 +1.0 +0.7/40.5|+0.4/+0.3 0 | © —0.1 0 [+0.2 
1906 +0.8/+1.1 +-.1 +40.9/40.7|+0.6/+0.6!+0.7|+0.8 ‘+1.1/+1.3 +1.4 
1907 +1.3|+1.2 - 1 +1.2/+1.4/+1.6/+1.5/+1.2|+1.3 |4+1.6/+1.3/+0.5 
1908 '—1.00—1.9 — 3 —2.5—2.5|—2.5|—2.3|—2.1|—2.0 '—1.8/—1.4/—0.6 
1909 +0.4/+0.8 +6 —0.1/—0.5—0.5—0.5|—0.4/|—0.4 +0.1/4+0.4/4-0.8 
1910 +0.7|+0.9 +7 40.5+40.2/ 0 |+0.2(40.2/4+0.2 '+0.1—0.1/—0.3 
1911 |—0.6(—0.8 - 9 —1.0|—1.1|—1.2|—1.2|—1.2'—1.0 —0.9|—0.7|—0.5 
1912 |—0.5/—0.6 - 7 —0.7/—0.7|—0.3|+0.1{+0.6 40.9 |+1.0/4+0.8/40.5 
1913 |+0.3(—0.1 - 1 —0.1/40.9/4+1.9/+2.9(+2.9 +2.5 +1.9(+1.5/+4+0.8 
1914 |+0.21—0.5 -0.6 —0.6(—0.9|—1.1|—1.4|—1.7/—2.1 |—2.2|—2.3|—2.3 
.  *Computed from data in Table II. Trend eliminated by computing percentage deviations from an 
eighty-four month moving average Sauthad with the aid of French curves. 
The data for 1890, 1891, and the first half of 1892 apply to quarters centered in February, May, August, 
and November. respectively. 
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