APPENDIX J
TABLE V—CYCLES OF FACTORY EMPLOYMENT IN SELECTED STATES, BY MONTHS:
1889-1914
Percentage deviations from trend, corrected for typical seasonal variation and
expressed in multiples of the standard deviation, which=4.55 per cent
YEAR| Jan. | FEB. = MAR. APR. | May JUNE | Jury AUG. | SEPT. | ocr. | Nov. Dsc.
1889 | 0 | o "0.11 '—0.29 —0.24 '—0.07 |—0.18 +0.26 | +0.04 |+0.04 '+0.02 0
1890 —0.07|+0.13 40.18 40.07 +0.11 ‘40.24 40.33 40.53 +0.51 40.55 +0.53/40.55
1891 +0.51|40.40 +40.35 BS +0.46 +0.40 40.62 40.57 40.51 40.40 40.44 13
1892 +0.70{+4+0.86 +0.97 1.30 41.25 +1.12 41.25 +1.30 +1.38 [41.43 +1.52/+1.41
1893 +1.43|+1.38 +1.60 +1.69 +1.67 +1.12 40.33 —1.80 —3.38 Sr —1 T8147
1894 —1.98/—1.78 —1.85 —1.58 -—1.38 —1.63 —1.93 '—2.35 —2.48 '—1.21 —0.77 .86
1895 —0.22|—0.37 —0.62 +0.09 +0.18 +40.15 | +0.22 +0.53 40.51 | 40.48 +0.66/40.59
1896 +40.26(40.26 +0.15 40.02 —0.13 —0.66 —1.25 +—1.85 —1.60 [31-18 —0.97|—0.62
1897 —0.79|—0.70 —0.62 —0.44 —0.51 —0.84 —1.21 —1.43 —0.44 |—0.40 —0.51/—0.55
1898 —0.88}—0.99 —0.75 —0.84 —1.19 —1.10 —1.19 —1.12 —1.12 —0.97 —0.92/—0.84
1899 —0.53]—0.42 —0.11 40.04 +0.15 40.26 |4+0.20 1+0.44 +0.62 |+0.42 +0.57/40.57
1900 +0.75(+0.66 +0.66 +0.33 +0.24 —0.07 —0.51 —0.33 —0.33 '—0.35 —0.33/—0.22
1901 —0.24/—0.29 —0.15 —0.59 —0.40 —0.46 —0.40 —0.15 —0.07 '40.11 -}0.24{40.22
1902 +40.70(40.57 40.64 +40.51 40.51 40.35 140.55 40.66 40.81 41.05 +1.12/40.99
1903 +40.90(+0.84 40.90 +0.37 -+0.24 40.51 40.40 +0.31 40.31 40.31 +40.13/40.04
1904 —0.42{—0.40 —0.09 —0.04 —0.15 —0.44 —0.77 —0.88 —0.35 |4+0.09 —0.07—0.13
1905 —0.15|—0.11 —0.07 +0.35 40.55 40.46 0.51 40.33 0 +0.26 +0.51/40.99
1906 +0.81|40.46 +0.57 40.59 +0.84 +1.16 +1.23 40.95 40.70 our +1.12141.12
1907 +1.38|+1.10 +1.27 41.10 —+1.16 41.38 ,+1.43 | 71.05 +0.44 —1.23 —1.45—2.42
1908 —3.30(—3.87 —3.96 —4.35 —4.07 —3.60 —2.11 '—1.58 —2.26 [—1.54 —1.16—0.64
1909 —0.44/—0.33 —0.04 —0.09 (40.02 '+0.04 '—0.04 '—0.02 +0.53 +092 +1.05/4+1.36
1910 [11.45 +1.23 40.92 +0.79 '+0.92 40.84 40.90 40.70 40.48 40.46 +0.66/4+0.70
1911 '40.48|+40.51 40.53 +40.46 [40.20 +0.40 :+0.53 +0.31 40.22 40.37 40.24 40.11
1912 .40.20/40.35 40.35 40.31 "40.29 +40.11 +40.09 40.51 40.53 +0.59 40.48 40.51
1913 ,4+0.70{+0.64 +40.20 0 —0.07 —0.02 —0.04 —0.13 —0.09 —0.11 —0.15—0.22
1014 |—0.24/—0.20 , 0 '—0.18 (—0.26 ‘—0.44 '—0.81 '—1.25 '—1.14 |—1.03 |—1.43—1.38
sBased upon index in Table IV, reduced to deviations from a curvilinear trend based upon preliminary
mathematical approximations smoothed with the aid of a French curve. Seasonal variation adjusted for
by method described in “The Measurement of Seasonal Variation," by Helen D. Falkner, in the Journal of
the American Statistical Association, June, 1924, pp. 167-179. Two sets of seasonal indices were computed,
one for 1889 to 1903. the other for 1904 to 1914.
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