08 VALUATION, DEPRECIATION AND THE RATE-BASE
tization and replacements should not be determined by the
interest bearing sinking fund method based on original probable
life but should be otherwise determined, as hereafter shown.
When, in other words, opportunity is not given to accumu-
late the 40 per cent of the invested capital (approximately), which,
for ordinary periods of useful life of perishable properties, should
in the course of time be in a replacement, depreciation or amor-
tization fund, any amount estimated from amortization tables
on the original full period of useful life will fall short of the
real replacement requirement.
Illustration of the Replacement Requirements. — Let it be
assumed that a conduit, such as a cast-iron pipe, used for any
purpose, has a length of 40 miles. Let it be also assumed that
the pipe is not being further extended, that the life of this pipe
is 40 years, no more and no less, and that it was constructed
progressively, one mile each year. It took 4o years to install
the pipe, and at the end of this time the first mile of pipe laid
was ready for replacement —it had served its time. Each
year thereafter, one mile of pipe has to be replaced, and the
replacement at this rate will continue indefinitely. The annual
replacement expenditure during the first 40 years is nothing,
but, thereafter, it is the cost of installing one mile of pipe. If
prices of labor and material have remained constant, and if
conditions have otherwise remained as they were when the first
mile of pipe was laid, then the annual replacement expenditure
will be one-fortieth of the total amount invested in the pipe line.
Provision for this replacement must be made if the pipe is to
continue in service. If, now, the extension of the pipe pro-
gresses beyond the go-year period at the same rate, before
assumed, of one mile per year, there will be no changes in the
annual replacement requirement during a second period of 40
years, but at the end of this second period — at the end of 8o
years — there will be 80 miles of pipe in service, and thereafter
during the third go-year period there will have to be replaced
annually 2 miles of pipe, or one-fortieth of 80 miles, or twice the
amount of pipe extension per annum.