INTRODUCTION.
stand at the other extremity of the scale. Theirs are the
sciences in which experiment has been brought to its greatest
perfection. But even so, statistical methods still find application.
In the first place, the methods available for eliminating the effect
of disturbing circumstances, though continually improved, are not,
and cannot be, absolutely perfect. The observer himself, as well
as the observing instrument, is a source of error; the effects of
changes of temperature, or of moisture, of pressure, draughts, vibra-
tion, cannot be completely eliminated. Further, in the problems
of molecular physics, referred to in the last sentences of § 6,
multiplicity of causes is of the essence of the case. The motion
of an atom or of a molecule in the middle of a swarm is dependent
on that of every other atom or molecule in the swarm.
10. In the light of this discussion, we may accordingly give the
following definitions :—
By statistics we mean quantitative data affected to a marked
extent by a multiplicity of causes.
By statistical methods we mean methods specially adapted to
the elucidation of quantitative data affected by a multiplicity of
causes.
| By theory of statistics we mean the exposition of statistical
methods.
The insertion in the first definition of some such words as “to
a marked extent ” is necessary, since the term ‘statistics ” is not
usually applied to data, like those of the physicist, which are
affected only by a relatively small residuum of disturbing causes.
At the same time, ‘statistical methods” are applicable to all such
cases, whether the influence of many causes be large or not.
REFERENCES.
The History of the Words “Statistics,” “ Statistical”
(1) Joun, V., Der Name Statistik ; Weiss, Berne, 1883. A translation in
Jour. Roy. Stat. Soc. for same year.
(2) YuLg, G. U., ““ The Introduction of the Words ‘Statistics,’ ¢ Statistical,’
inte $us English Language,” Jour. Roy. Stat. Soc., vol. lxviii., 1905,
p. 391.
The History of Statistics in General.
(3) Jomx, V., Geschichte der Statistik, 1%¢ Teil, bis auf Quetelet; Enke,
Stuttgart, 1884. (All published ; the author died in 1900. By far the
best history of statistics down to the early years of the nineteenth
century.)
(4) MonL, ROBERT VON, Geschichte und Litteratur der Staatswissenschaflen,
3 vols. ; Enke, Erlangen, 1855-58. (For history of statistics see
principally latter half of vol. iii.)
A