CHAPTER III
THE THEORY OF EXCHANGE AND ITS COROLLARIES
§ 1. The theory of exchange and the idea of depreciation.
THE theory of exchange has long seemed—and still
seems to many people—to be a mere application of the
Quantity Theory. For exchange phenomena hardly
engage the attention of economists, and above all of the
public, except when the exchange is abnormal, 7.e., when
the rate is subject to violent fluctuations and falls consider-
ably below par, or official parity.! Thus, for instance, the
French exchange aroused very little attention before 1914 ;
it arouses attention, and serious attention, at the present
time; for the dollar, which is equivalent at metallic par
to 5-18, has been quoted at 10, 12, 15, 20 and 25 francs,
and more, the value of the franc in relation to the dollar
having dropped progressively in the course of its
fluctuations.
1 The expression “par” applies to the normal exchange ratio between
two currencies of the same metal. This exchange ratio is in no way arbitrary
once given the definition of both monetary units: for it is exactly equal to
the ratio between the content of each monetary unit in fine metal. Thus
the statement that the par of exchange between the franc and sterling is
25221 francs is equivalent to stating that under the monetary legislation
fixing the content of the pound sterling and of the franc in fine gold, there
is as much fine gold in one pound sterling as there is in 25221 francs.
Parity, on the other hand, is an exchange ratio between two currencies,
which differ in kind, e.g., between the pound sterling or gold sovereign and
the silver rupee, or between the United States dollar, which is at present
gold or convertible into gold, and the French franc which is at present a
paper franc. Parity is arbitrary, but may be fixed by law or international
agreement and may, in fact, remain constant, if the convertibility of one
currency into another continues to be secured. On the other hand, for a
country which no longer possesses a sufficient stock of metal to make its
foreign payments on a par basis, by resorting of necessity to shipments of
bullion, par is nothing but past history and the conversion of its silver or
paper currency into gold is no less arbitrary, if effected at a parity corre-
sponding to the former par, than if it is effected at a new parity.
125