THE THEORY OF EXCHANGE 159
method of restoring the gold points and therefore of re-institut-
ing a system of stable exchanges with countries on a gold
currency.
When inflation has not gone very far, so that new issues can
be easily withdrawn, and the level of prices has not risen
100 high while the loss on exchange remains low, a return to the
gold points can be brought about by abolishing forced currency
50 that the unlimited convertibility of notes is restored. This
method has been used particularly in France after 1870
and may be ultimately adopted in England.
It should be added that it is inapplicable except when all
the conditions described above are present, or unless the
definition of the monetary unit is changed ; and even then
it cannot be used without running serious risks.
The first consequence of merely abolishing forced
currency would be to force the bank of issue to ex-
change them at the rate of one gold unit for one paper
unit, thus involving possibly a temporary but certainly
a violent return to a par exchange. If the forced currency
were in fact abrogated at the present time in France it
would at once be open to anyone to obtain gold at the rate
of one gold franc for one paper franc, and so the exchange
would revert to 25221 to the pound and 5°18 to the
dollar. It would be superfluous to recall what has already
been said on this subject and to describe the catastrophe
which would follow.
There would be only two methods of avoiding such an
upheaval. The first one would be to wait for a gradual
improvement in the exchange until it nearly reached par ;
1 As we have seen particularly from the relation between the Moroccan
and Algerian franc and the French franc, it is possible to establish
harmonious exchanges between different countries by making one paper
currency convertible into another. But a general monetary restoration
presupposes that harmony has been restored with the few countries—like
the United States—where the internal currency is on a par with gold
owing to the freedom to export, import and coin the yellow metal. Hence
the formula “convertibility into gold” is more generally and more easily
accepted than the one which aims at making the various paper currencies
convertible into United States dollars. But the method of convertibility
into gold should also be understood as extending to the system of buying
and selling at a constant rate bills payable abroad in gold.