Full text : Banking standards under the federal reserve system

346

BANKING STANDARDS

rather than random behavior, a consistency extending alike to
all of the twelve districts.

3. The tendency for ratios in the various districts and for the
different groups of banks in given districts to regress to type.
This phenomenon shows itself in two ways. First, ratios which
are high or low in a given year tend, respectively, to decrease or
to increase in the following year. As respects the type of change,
increase or decrease, it is the ratios which are high—that is, above
their average levels—which tend to decrease, and it is those
which are low—that is, below their average levels—which tend
to increase. Second, the net percentage changes in the ratios from
year to year vary directly with the percentage amounts by which
they deviate from their own average levels. The rule is for
direction of change from year to year to vary inversely and for
percentage amounts of change to vary directly with the positions
which district and group ratios occupy, in the first of each pair
of years, relative to their own average levels.
4. The tendency for ratios in the various districts and for
the different groups of banks in given districts to be consistently
above or below the country and the district averages, respectively.
That is, in the case of the different districts, geographical differences
 in the ratios in the various series of data tend to obtain,
while for groups of banks within a given district, differences associated
 with bank size and location persist from year to year.

In general, therefore, and in summary of the tendencies for
the individual series analyzed, it is concluded as follows: District
 ratios relative to their own levels tend to be high or low at
the same time; relative to the levels for the country as a whole,
they are consistently high or low during the entire period studied;
and they change in the same direction from year to year, those
above their levels in a given year tending to decrease, and those
below these levels tending to increase in the following year, the
percentage amounts of decrease or of increase varying directly
with the percentage amounts of displacement from their own
average levels.
The foregoing summary has to do with series of banking ratios
treated individually. But such series are not independent of each
other in respect to bank operation, nor are they unrelated in so
far as deviation from type—district or country—, change from
            
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