200 The Stock Market Crash—And After
matter of fact, the crucial element in all investments
is the value of the dollar.
Among several important books which emphasize
the important role of changes in the value of the
dollar, none has impressed the investing public so
profoundly as certain events that gave rise to invest-
ment counsel and investment trusts in America, in-
cluding especially the publication of Edgar Lawrence
Smith's book, Common Stocks as Long-Term Invest-
ments (Macmillan). Another excellent book is
Kenneth Van Strum’s Investment and Purchasing
Power.
Stocks vs. Bonds
Mr. Smith made about a dozen comparisons to
show how the stockholder and bondholder actually
fared at different periods. In the various tests, sev-
eral different methods of selection were used, but all
were calculated to favor bonds rather than stocks.
Otherwise the superiority in yield of stocks would
have been even more pronounced.
But even with the choice of securities favorable
to bonds and unfavorable to stocks rather than rep-
resentative of both, in only one case does Mr. Smith
find an excess of advantage for bonds. This is Test
6, where Boston investors are supposed to have in-
vested $10,000 in bonds in 1866, and, at the same
time, $10,000 in assorted stocks. When they com-
pared notes twenty years later it was found that the
total income from stocks was $13,169, and that from
the bonds was $12,155, showing a slight excess in