CORRELATION BETWEEN FERTILITY, RURAL RESIDENCE, ILLITERACY 215 
The reader is left to make a detailed examination of Table 133 for himself and 
especially of Column 6. A word of caution, however, is necessary. Large numbers reported 
in the census as of Russian and Dutch origin spoke German as the mother tongue, and 
there is reason to suppose that many of these were recorded as of German origin on the 
birth certificates of their children. Only on such a supposition can the excessively high 
figure for the Germans be reconciled with the moderate figure for the Russians and the 
very low percentage for the Dutch. Similar discrepancies probably account for the behaviour 
of the data for the Roumanians and Serbo-Croatians. 
TABLE 133.—BIRTH RATES PER 100 WOMEN, 15-49 YEARS, OF SPECIFIED ORIGINS, IN THE PRAIRIE 
PROVINCES, 1926. 
Origin 
fotal..... 
3ritish.... eeiiireenaes 
french.....cocevninnens on wT § 
AUSEIIATL. Levers 
BAIA ve 2 goiirig mms EERE TTR 
i. LL LO EAR AR a 
Danish. ..... TUB ARERR » 
Dutch. ..... Gad wtnhn fran ae 
Tinnish..... een aa 
JEIMAN. (.vvrt veer enrnrannaeaeen arnas 
Jreek....... I av 
Jebrew...... RI, L583 § 
Jungarian...... a 
«celandic..... FEHR ARIAT, 0 Bone oT 
talian........ Bindentnd? oman 
NOTWORIAN. ..vererierrerrannnanenineernans 
TOliSh. Lies eee, 
LOUMAIIADL vse eiiire en iaserrnanneananss 
VMIARARL ccoqns cnminy spo won EREEREs CARES 
lerbo-Orantion. . ccc cvdvimornvnintssns rive 
er i TORMMAREE a 
IVES nvm dass 
Jkrainian........ 
ly 
Expected 
rate 
1N-2 
0-3 
0-6 
"8 
r 
Sw 
(2) 
Actual 
rata 
10-2 
8-4 
3-1 
4-8 
2-3 
1%-3 
<n 
11 
1 
i 
100 
(3) 
Eszpected 
as 
percentage 
of standard 
100-0 
100-0 
02-9 
22-9 
30-0 
30-0 
05-8 
1-9 
2-3 
0-0 
98-2 
2-0 
0-0 
“ 
08-1 
4) 
Actual 
as 
percentage 
of standard 
100-0 
81-6 
127-3 
141-8 
80-6 
119-4 
97-1 
76-7 
101-0 
25:0 
125-2 
-0 
bd 
7d 
7 
re.y 
a) 
7-0 
0 
1.7.8 
Gol 
J 45-8 
(5) 
Index of 
fertility? 
standard 
= 100 
{Col. 2 — 
Col. 1) 
100 
82 
124 
138 
1 
fL 
1 
.3 
162 
8 
180 
95 
94 
149 
(8) 
Index of 
fertility, 
taking 
index for 
British 
aa 100 
199 
100 
151 
| 168 
99 
146 
112 
220 
| 118 
1156 
182 
1 In terms of all females. 15-49. 
Correlation Between Fertility, Rural Domicile, Illiteracy and Length of Residence in 
Canada—Further light is thrown on the subject by the method of multiple correlation. 
Table 134 assembles the following data on the Prairie Provinces for the year 1926: (1) index 
of fertility from Table 133 for each origin (women 15 to 49); (2) the proportion of women 
{21 years and over) rural; (3) the percentage of women (10 years and over) illiterate; 
and (4) the percentage of both sexes (21 years and over) North American born. The latter 
is used as an index of length of residence. The figure 124 opposite the French in Column 1 
means that higher fertility and more favourable conjugal condition caused the birth rate 
among women of French origin to be 24 p.c. greater than the rate for the whole pepula- 
tion. Favourable age distribution is eliminated. Similarly, the figure of 82 for the British 
stocks signifies that the fertility of the women of these stocks was 18 p.c. below that of the 
population as a whole, quite apart from considerations of age. The figures for the Rus- 
sians, Germans and Dutch were combined for reasons mentioned above. Complete data 
were not available for the Serbo-Croatians, so that that stock had to be omitted. 
A multiple correlation was taken in a manner similar to that described in Chapter VI, 
with the fertility index as the ‘dependent variable. The exceptionally high coefficient of 
+ 8% -05 was the result. The prediction equation was as follows: X3=0-66X3o 
+2.86X340.37X 434.80, where 
Xi==the index of fertility 
Xo=Percentage of women (21 and over) rural. 
Xg=Percentage of women (10 and over) illiterate. 
Xy==Percentage of both sexes (21 and over) North American born. } 
The predicted and actual values appear in Chart 34.