SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOMETRIOUE FTC
20]
struction cost is not the only relevant cost figure (even if
discounted); separate attention should be given to fiscal drains
in individual years. As a final instance, the impact of the
financing of a project on the private sector gives rise to a similar
distinction. To the extent that the financing induces retrench-
ment in consumption expenditures there is one kind of cost (one
might even want to distinguish among the socio-economic strata
which retrench). To the extent that the financing induces a
reduction in private investment, there is another kind of cost,
especially if the social and private rates of interest diverge.
The two cannot be added meaningfully dollar for dollar, nor
Is it easy to assign an exchange rate between them a priori.
In short then, what I as an econometrician contemplate is
that the assessment of a public investment be based on a model
of that investment that recognizes its consequences in many
dimensions and that exhibits the full range of choice and substi-
tutability among these dimensions. Final adoption or rejection
of a project can be decided only when the best design it is
feasible to produce is at hand, one that takes account of al!
the significant dimensions.
This approach requires a new kind of cooperation among
engineers, economists, fiscal analysts, and senior policy of-
ficials. The engineer is not asked to submit a design as a kind
of fait accompli to be analyzed and perhaps accepted by the
other officials. He is rather made more integral to the ap.
praisal and decision process. He is to collaborate in the formu-
lation of the model of the investment and to present estimates
of the requisite functions, where possible. Where that is
not possible, a frequent situation, the engineer will have to
contribute and analyze some more detailed technological rela-
tionships that I shall discuss more fully below. The economist
contributes his guesses of plausible targets and estimates of
money value for those outputs for which monetary values are
appropriate. All contribute to the construction, the testing,
the appraisal, and the revision of the model of the contemplated
ov Dorfman - pag. 1+