Full text: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

SEMAINE D ETUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOME1RIQUE ETC. 
Ia 
cond case get much greater consumption and rate of growth of 
capital in the future. Therefore it is doubtful whether one can say 
that one alternative leads to more consumption and the other leads 
to more investment generally. This may shift over time. That 
brings me to the question of the underlying preference function in 
general. I have not made a statement of right or wrong here. I have 
just said that if one wants growth, here’s how matters work. I'm 
not saying that it is impossible that one should want precisely the 
development that we get by the model under the assumption of 
nvestment being mainly private. There is one point in that con- 
nection however; as far as I see it, the only way that a social pre- 
ference function — if we assume such a thing — shows up in this 
kind of economic model, is through the consumption function. And 
‘here is nothing there that should lead us to think that people have 
strange cyclical variations in their preferences. In fact, people may 
not even be aware of the investment cycle in my model. They have 
constantly full employment. Their disposable income, it is true, is 
higher when the economy is not growing than when it grows. But 
consumers, counting in money, don’t see that the country is not 
growing and therefore they are consuming. I think that this is a 
‘air interpretation of the meaning of the consumption function. If 
people have high income, they will naturally think that they can 
afford to consume more and still provide for the future while 
actually they are only piling up money which the government owes 
‘hem. I think now that, even though I have not mentioned the 
names of all those who commented. I have answered more or less 
111 the questions 
AILAIS 
This conclusion that the rate of growth is increased if you have 
public investment instead of private investment is so important from 
the point of view of both economic theory and pclic- “hat " hink 
I must insist again on three other points 
Haavelmo - pag. 21
	        
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