Full text: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

562 PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 28 
favourably on any development of it, provided that this develop- 
ment goes in the direction of a more practically relevant type of 
analysis, by relaxing some of the unrealistic assumptions. 
Now, my question is: does Professor MORISHIMA move in this 
direction? If I understand him correctly, I must say he does not. 
By considering technical change — and thus increasing per-capita 
ncomes — he has been compelled to introduce specific assumptions 
on consumers’ preferences. He has assumed that all individual 
utility functions, besides being « identical », are « log-linear in the 
quantities of the commodities consumed. » This means that, when 
per-capita incomes increase, each consumer — if relative prices do 
not change — is supposed to increase his demand for each com- 
modity in exactly the same proportion. 
These are further assumptions with respect to vON NEUMANN’S. 
And what is unfortunate is that these additional assumptions are 
not only unrealistic; they postulate a behaviour which we know to 
be impossible, at least among human beings. As ERNST ENGEL 
pointed out more than a century ago, when per-capita incomes 
increase, the demand for each commodity does not tend to increase 
proportionately; which means that utility functions are not log- 
linear. 
To postulate a consumers’ behaviour which goes against one 
of the strongest empirical laws of economics (ENGEL’S law) makes 
Professor MORISHIMA’S analysis more — instead of making it less 
— artificial than that of voN NEUMANN. I have been wondering 
why Professor MoriSHIMA has made such assumptions; and the only 
reason that occurs to me is that they are the only ones that allow 
a model with technical change to keep the mathematically elegant 
property of proportional economic growth. 
If this is the case, I must confess to be very disturbed. I feel 
that this is just the way in which mathematics can do economics 
a great disservice, For, in this direction, instead of using mathe- 
matics as an analytical tool for the interpretation of economic phe- 
nomena, we risk developing elegant mathematical models for their 
own sake, and then making whatever assumption may be necessary 
to give them an economic interpretation. 
9] Movishima - pag. 34
	        
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