266 The Stock Market Crash—dnd After
Other Factors Apart from Justifying Causes
It is also possible that had there not been certain
other factors quite unassociated from the funda-
mental justifying causes of the long bull market, that
operated with the momentum of long and short-term
swings in the October-November crash, the crash
might have been prevented.
There was the downward turn in the business
trend resulting in a rather rapid decline in the aver-
age of wholesale prices during the summer of 1929;
but this was not so great as the 19277 down-turn had
been, and it could not alone account for the panic.
There was the tax on capital gains, discouraging the
active selling of stocks to take profits and encour-
aging the buying of new securities by the help of
loans instead of by the proceeds of sales of stocks.
There was the sudden increase of a billion dollars’
worth of new securities by the investment trusts,
with a lag in their reinvestment of the proceeds in
the stock market. Finally, there was the “boom”
enthusiasm which during the three months preceding
the panic, to a considerable degree, ignored yields
and earnings in its extravagant belief in the future
growth of business. This enthusiasm doubtless had
its hold upon intelligent speculators who had sub-
stantial grounds for their optimism as well as upon
the “lunatic fringe’ that always attends the per-
formances of rising markets.
It is not altogether unlikely that there were other
facts and situations now unknown or hidden, which