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often happens that a stock either gradually
improves or deteriorates in stability in direct
ratio with an improvement or a deterioration in
its desirability as an investment ; for example,
the average annual fluctuation of Grand Trunk
Railway Second Preference Stock in 1901, based
on the preceding three years, was about 30 per
cent. ; whereas the average annual fluctuation
at the present time, based on the last three
years, is under 10 per cent. In such case the
stock must be treated as if it were a new stock
which has not yet found its proper market
position, and, to minimise the element of
chance, it should be avoided until the per
manence of the average annual fluctuation of
the stock, at its altered level, can be appreciated
at its true limits.
Again, in selecting stocks that are subject
to different market influences, it must be re
membered that the chief market for any
particular security is liable to transposition.
By market influence we mean the influence
created by the general investment conditions
obtaining on the Stock Exchange in which the
stock is mainly dealt in. Thus, a few years
ago a number of the bond issues of American
Railways were chiefly held in this country, and
the principal market for them was accordingly
the London Stock Exchange. But, owing to