Denkschrift über die Maschinenindustrie der Welt, bestimmt für das Komitee B des Vorbereitenden Ausschusses der Internationalen Wirtschaftskonferenz des Völkerbundes

The shadow of the world's future, or The earth's population possibilities & the consequences of the present rate of increase of the earth's inhabitants

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Monograph

Identifikator:: 1724926314

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-103958

Document type:: Monograph

Title:: Denkschrift über die Maschinenindustrie der Welt, bestimmt für das Komitee B des Vorbereitenden Ausschusses der Internationalen Wirtschaftskonferenz des Völkerbundes

Place of publication:: Bln-Charlottenburg

Publisher:: Verein Deutscher Maschinenbau-Anstalten

Year of publication:: 1926

Scope:: V, 194 S.

Digitisation:: 2020

Collection:: Economics Books

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Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: 10. Verbrauch auf die Kopfzahl und nach Ländern

Collection:: Economics Books

57 attainable, human life being organised as at present, and even allowing that 31-2 per cent. is an underestimate. Continuing still the consideration on the lines indicated here, we note that we must, however, take account of the fact that of the 31-2 per cent. of the so-called productive land” only 32 per cent. is arable, hence the above estimated 17,642 millions of population is at once reduced to 5645, a figure almost identical with one of the results given in the end of the last chapter. Further, if it were supposed that the United States ratio of 503 to 800 could really be a possibility for the whole of this area, this would raise the limit only to about 8978 millions, an estimate of ultimate population that is very probably fairly accurate, the average standard-of-living remaining as it is at present. There is still another way by which we can get some idea of this earth’s ultimate population. Of the 52-5 millions of square miles of land-surface some amount has to be deducted for rocky and mountainous regions, for deserts, and for cold and arid areas. All of these can never carry more than negligible numbers of human beings. Provision must be made also for necessary forests, and for animals both for food and clothing. Areas for cotton-growing, for sericulture, and for many minor purposes are -also required. When an allowance has been made for all of these, the area for agriculture which is to feed all will of course have been materially reduced. The aspect of the world’s possibilities which takes due account of the correlation of all human activities ought to be mentioned, for it very materially affects the possible numbers which the earth can carry, and affects also the rate at which those numbers can increase. For the social organism is so arranged that, to be most efficient, the numbers in industrial occupa- tions, those engaged in distribution, and those engaged POPULATION

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