Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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Monograph

Identifikator:: 1824422792

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-217476

Document type:: Monograph

Title:: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Place of publication:: Amsterdam [u.a.]

Publisher:: North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.]

Year of publication:: 1965

Scope:: XLVII, 1259 S.; graph. Darst.

Digitisation:: 2022

Collection:: Economics Books

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Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.

Collection:: Economics Books

SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC. 1153 It is quite likely that improved quality of inputs and a change in the production function (technological change) usually occur together. In an underdeveloped economy the most important input — as measured by the share of the total product paid to it — is labor. Fortunately, labor is an input whose quality can be changed by well known procedures. Un- fortunately, these procedures involve the expenditure of signi- ficant amounts of scarce resources. But the history of Japan from 1870 through 1gr0 indicates that a poor country, with very limited natural resources, can organize its resources to provide for nearly universal education for the farm population, for agricultural research, and for education of the adult farm population in new and improved methods of production. There is now rather general agreement among competent scientists that the technological possibilities for increasing food output in the low income areas are very substantial. Many of the low income areas — Africa, Latin America, and South- east Asia — have room for substantial expansion of the cul- tivated areas. But some of the most densely populated areas — India and China, for example — are not in this fortunate position. Again reference may be had to the Japanese expe- rience. Japan at the time substantial economic progress began had little possibility of increasing the sown area. In the half century from 1881-90 to 1931-40 the cultivated area of six major crops in Japan increased by only 18% (}). However, vields increased by 66% and production by 95%. The excellent Report on India’s Food Crisis and Steps to Meet It prepared by the Ford Foundation team clearly indi- cates that it is technically possible to substantially increase food production in India (3). Once of the major conclusions of the (') Bruce F. Jounson, Agricultural Development and Economic Trans- formation: Japan, Taiwan and Denmark ,Mimeo., 1960, p. 28. (?) Published by the Government of India, Ministry of Food and Agri- culture and Ministry of Community Development and Cooperation, April 1959. The chairman of the team was Mr. Sherman Johnson of the United States Department of Agriculture 116] Johnson - pag. 15%

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