Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Bibliographic data

Monograph

Identifikator:: 1824422792

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-217476

Document type:: Monograph

Title:: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Place of publication:: Amsterdam [u.a.]

Publisher:: North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.]

Year of publication:: 1965

Scope:: XLVII, 1259 S.; graph. Darst.

Digitisation:: 2022

Collection:: Economics Books

Usage license:: Get license information via the feedback formular.

Chapter

Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.

Collection:: Economics Books

SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC. B. Projections for the Soviet Union 116% In the Soviet Union the announced goals for agriculture represent goals both for production and for consumption, after adjustment for exports or imports and changes in stocks. Food consumption will also differ from production because some part of certain products is used for industrial purposes or part of the output is used as an intermediate product (feed or seed). For this brief discussion, the goals will be considered solely as production projections. The goals for the Sixth Five Year Plan (1956-60) and for the 1958-65 plan will be presented and compared with actual performance for the 1956-60 period and the first four years of the present plan. Table 7 presents information for each of ten agricultural commodities - output in 1955 and 1960, the goal for 1960, the actual increase and the planned increase, and the actual increase as a percentage of the planned increase. Of the ten goals, only one was fulfilled. This was the goal for sugar beets and it was overfulfilled by a substantial margin; in fact, by such a wide margin relative to the fulfillment of the other goals that it might be said that there was an error in the execution of the plan ('). Of the other nine goals, the actual increase in output as a percentage of the planned increase in output ranged from 17% for cotton to 48% for wool. Instead of gross agri- cultural output increasing by 70%, the increase was only 32% or 46% of the planned goal. The above comparison of goals and performance may be considered by some to be irrelevant since the Sixth Five Year Plan was abandoned in midstream. The Sixth Plan was repla- ced by the Seven Year Plan for the period 1959-65. While the Seven Year Plan is not yet completed — it is now in its fifth (') It should be noted that the procurements in 1960 were 5.2 million tons less than output. In 1955 the difference was only 0.4 million tons. The difference probably consists of both waste and feed. In addition, 5.9 million tons of sugar beets were produced for feed in 1960. 5 Johnson - pag. 2c

Access restriction

Copyright

fullscreen: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Chapter

Table of contents

Download

Monograph

Chapter

This page

Image fragment

Citation links

Citation recommendation