Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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Monograph

Identifikator:: 1824422792

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-217476

Document type:: Monograph

Title:: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Place of publication:: Amsterdam [u.a.]

Publisher:: North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.]

Year of publication:: 1965

Scope:: XLVII, 1259 S.; graph. Darst.

Digitisation:: 2022

Collection:: Economics Books

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Chapter

Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.

Collection:: Economics Books

1106 PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 7 Mr. KooPMANS’ question is a very pertinent one and that is, whether research in agriculture is exportable; can the research done in the United States or Western Europe be exported to India? 1 would say the fundamental scientific research such as the theory that has led to hybridization is clearly exportable, but I fear we cannot go very far beyond that. It is necessary to adapt varieties, different types of plants and even the methods of fertilization to local conditions, There is also one other factor that is important here and this is that in agriculture there is a continual fight between man and nature. I would say that upwards of 3/4 of all the research on the small grain in the United States done today is purely an action required by man’s fight against nature. The resistance of various plants to insects, disease, and viruses disappears over time and there is a continual fight just to maintain yields; in wheat, for example, in the United States, almost all research over the last thirty years has been to fight against nature. A wheat variety that is very popular in the United States and very high yielding might give a zero yield after two or three years in India because it became subject to an insect or to a disease. I am not quite sure how I should respond to Mr. LEONTIEF; per- haps no response is required other than that I agree with his view that a general purpose or general equilibrium model that would do all that special purpose models do — and much more besides — would constitute a major contribution to both analysis and policy. But after saying this, I must note that I do not believe that as a profession we have progressed so far in the empirical application of general purpose models to permit us to abandon the generation of special purpose models, Obviously special purpose models must be used with care if im- portant policy conflicts are to be avoided. However, two decades of observation of agricultural policy in the industrial countries does not convince me that the present unsatisfactory state of agricultural policy has been due to a failure to understand the « indirect effects » of the measures adopted. ‘16] Johnson - pag. 56

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