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Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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fullscreen: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Identifikator:
1824422792
URN:
urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-217476
Document type:
Monograph
Title:
Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
Place of publication:
Amsterdam [u.a.]
Publisher:
North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.]
Year of publication:
1965
Scope:
XLVII, 1259 S.
graph. Darst.
Digitisation:
2022
Collection:
Economics Books
Usage license:
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Chapter

Document type:
Monograph
Structure type:
Chapter
Title:
Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
Collection:
Economics Books

Contents

Table of contents

  • Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
  • Title page
  • Le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • La semaine d'etude sur le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • L'audience et le discours du saint-pere
  • Les «semaines d'etude» et leur reglement
  • The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • Toward a verdict on macroeconomic simultaneous equations / Herman O.A. Wold, Universitets Statistika Institution - Uppsala - Sverige
  • Econometric analysis for assessing the efficacy of public investment / R. Dorman, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
  • Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
  • Dynamic structure and estimation in economy-wide econometric models / FranklinM. Fisher, Massachuetts Institute of Technology - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • Decision rules and simulation techniques in development programming / Henri Theil, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool - Econometrisch Institut Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Some observations on countercyclical fiscal policy and its effects on economic growth / Trygve Haavelmo, Universitetet i Oslo - Oslo - Norge
  • Balanced growth and technical progress in a log-linear multisectoral economy / Michio Morishima, Osaka University - Osaka - Japan
  • A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
  • Spatial organization and regional planning: Some hypotheses for econometric analysis / Walter Isard, Department of regional Science - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Penn. - U.S.A.
  • The rates of long-run economic growth and capital transfer from developed to underdeveloped areas / Wassily Leontief, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • The social transformation for national development / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institue - Calcutta - India
  • Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
  • Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.
  • Selection and implementation the econometrics of the future / Ragnar Frisch, Universitetet i Oslo - Sosialøkonomisk Institutt - Oslo- Norge
  • The economic framework of regional planning / Jan Tinbergen, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Conclusions
  • Contents

Full text

SEMAINE D ETUDE SUR LE ROLE DE IL ANALYSE ECONOMETRIOUE ETC. 307 
Section 6 is devoted to the case of a linear utility function, 
a case that is often considered, for instance when one chooses 
to maximize a discounted sum of the future consumption 
stream. 
The formulas found in section 3 are no longer applicable 
as such, because the solution of the recurrence equations leads 
to non-feasible programs. However, the general approach can 
be maintained if one introduces upper and lower bounds on 
consumption per head c, and labor input per head #,. 
Depending on the values of the parameters, the shape of 
the optimal program varies a great deal. I consider precisely 
a few cases which may be of some interest. For instance, if 
the initial endowment of capital is small and if leisure has some 
value even when consumption is at its minimum, the optimal 
program may imply that the labor input be not pushed at its 
maximum in the first periods, but be increased progressively 
as capital accumulates, consumption being nevertheless kept at 
its minimum until a sufficiently high capital stock has been 
reached (see figure 5 in the text). 
Notwithstanding the fact that it permits interesting insights. 
the assumption of a linear utility function is not quite satisfac- 
tory. In all cases, the optimal program exhibits some discon- 
tinuities in its time shape, discontinuities that go against com- 
mon sense. For instance, consumption may switch in one 
period from its minimum to its maximum value. 
This unsatisfactory feature is partly due to the simplifica- 
tions made in the model, notably to the assumption of a one- 
commodity, one-sector world, and to the assumption of inde- 
pendence among the utilities for different periods. However, 
optimal programs in more elaborate models would present si- 
milar, even though less extreme, discountinuities as long as 
linear utilities would be assumed. The unescapable conclusion 
seems to be that. for the problems considered here, one must 
Malinvaud - pag. 
7
	        

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