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Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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fullscreen: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Identifikator:
1824422792
URN:
urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-217476
Document type:
Monograph
Title:
Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
Place of publication:
Amsterdam [u.a.]
Publisher:
North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.]
Year of publication:
1965
Scope:
XLVII, 1259 S.
graph. Darst.
Digitisation:
2022
Collection:
Economics Books
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Chapter

Document type:
Monograph
Structure type:
Chapter
Title:
A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
Collection:
Economics Books

Contents

Table of contents

  • Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
  • Title page
  • Le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • La semaine d'etude sur le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • L'audience et le discours du saint-pere
  • Les «semaines d'etude» et leur reglement
  • The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • Toward a verdict on macroeconomic simultaneous equations / Herman O.A. Wold, Universitets Statistika Institution - Uppsala - Sverige
  • Econometric analysis for assessing the efficacy of public investment / R. Dorman, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
  • Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
  • Dynamic structure and estimation in economy-wide econometric models / FranklinM. Fisher, Massachuetts Institute of Technology - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • Decision rules and simulation techniques in development programming / Henri Theil, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool - Econometrisch Institut Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Some observations on countercyclical fiscal policy and its effects on economic growth / Trygve Haavelmo, Universitetet i Oslo - Oslo - Norge
  • Balanced growth and technical progress in a log-linear multisectoral economy / Michio Morishima, Osaka University - Osaka - Japan
  • A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
  • Spatial organization and regional planning: Some hypotheses for econometric analysis / Walter Isard, Department of regional Science - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Penn. - U.S.A.
  • The rates of long-run economic growth and capital transfer from developed to underdeveloped areas / Wassily Leontief, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • The social transformation for national development / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institue - Calcutta - India
  • Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
  • Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.
  • Selection and implementation the econometrics of the future / Ragnar Frisch, Universitetet i Oslo - Sosialøkonomisk Institutt - Oslo- Norge
  • The economic framework of regional planning / Jan Tinbergen, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Conclusions
  • Contents

Full text

SEMAINE D’ETUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC. 
659 
Here we have new problems arising because the E;’s and 
E,; 's although representing flow-variables (services from labour 
in the unit of time) come from, and are inseparably linked to, 
a stock-variable (the labour force) which may not be perfectly 
mobile. As appears from (V.16), if population is constant 
(g=0) employment in each sector ¢ increases or decreases 
through time according to whether r;>p; or r;<p;. This means 
that, on the average, half of the sectors are offering jobs and 
half of the sectors are dismissing workers, as time goes on. 
Clearly, this may be a very serious state of affairs — especially 
In a very progressive system, i.e. in a system with very high 
2s — if labour is highly specialized and is not susceptible of 
being transferred from one sector to another except at the ex 
pense of heavy losses in productivity. 
Fortunately, the natural movements of population come in 
here to help in the right direction and in two senses. First of 
all, the natural process of people ageing permits a redistribution 
sf employment among sectors by addressing young workers 
towards expanding sectors and by not replacing retired people 
in the contracting sectors. This may be a slow process, but 
it is one which is going on even when population is stationary. 
Secondly, when population is growing, its rate of increase is 
a net positive addition to the rate of change of demand (and 
herefore of employment) in all sectors. It follows that, in 
absolute terms, only those sectors will actually lose employment 
where the rate of increase in productivity is so high and the 
rate of increase in per-capita demand so low that the difference 
between the two is not only negative, but negative to such an 
extent as to make the sum (g+7;-g;) less than zero, or rather 
the sum (g+7;-g;+¢) less than zero, where @ stands for 
the rate of people’s retirement from working activities (6) 
(®) At this point restrictions (V.6), discussed in section 2, may be re- 
written with reference both to the stocks of capital and to employment of 
abour in each single sector. in the following wavy: 
V 
‘continued on following page) 
‘10) Pasinetli - pag. 89
	        

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Study Week on the Econometric Approach to Development Planning. North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.], 1965.
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