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Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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fullscreen: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Identifikator:
83457490X
URN:
urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-77841
Document type:
Monograph
Author:
Dühring, Eugen http://d-nb.info/gnd/118527797
Title:
Kritische Geschichte der Nationalökonomie und des Socialismus
Edition:
2., theilw. umgearb. Aufl.
Place of publication:
Berlin
Publisher:
Grieben
Year of publication:
1875
Scope:
1 Online-Ressource (XII, [1] Bl., 595 S.)
Collection:
Economics Books
Usage license:
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Contents

Document type:
Monograph
Structure type:
Contents
Collection:
Economics Books

Contents

Table of contents

  • Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
  • Title page
  • Le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • La semaine d'etude sur le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • L'audience et le discours du saint-pere
  • Les «semaines d'etude» et leur reglement
  • The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • Toward a verdict on macroeconomic simultaneous equations / Herman O.A. Wold, Universitets Statistika Institution - Uppsala - Sverige
  • Econometric analysis for assessing the efficacy of public investment / R. Dorman, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
  • Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
  • Dynamic structure and estimation in economy-wide econometric models / FranklinM. Fisher, Massachuetts Institute of Technology - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • Decision rules and simulation techniques in development programming / Henri Theil, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool - Econometrisch Institut Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Some observations on countercyclical fiscal policy and its effects on economic growth / Trygve Haavelmo, Universitetet i Oslo - Oslo - Norge
  • Balanced growth and technical progress in a log-linear multisectoral economy / Michio Morishima, Osaka University - Osaka - Japan
  • A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
  • Spatial organization and regional planning: Some hypotheses for econometric analysis / Walter Isard, Department of regional Science - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Penn. - U.S.A.
  • The rates of long-run economic growth and capital transfer from developed to underdeveloped areas / Wassily Leontief, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • The social transformation for national development / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institue - Calcutta - India
  • Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
  • Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.
  • Selection and implementation the econometrics of the future / Ragnar Frisch, Universitetet i Oslo - Sosialøkonomisk Institutt - Oslo- Norge
  • The economic framework of regional planning / Jan Tinbergen, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Conclusions
  • Contents

Full text

SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC. 
08; 
not necessarily the type of goods that are the easiest to pro- 
duce. Even if we supposed that consumers’ preferences were 
such as to require a uniform expansion of production of all 
commodities, there is no reason to expect that the composition 
of production preferred by consumers should coincide with 
‘he composition of production which technology would require 
in order to achieve the maximum rate of uniform growth. If 
‘hese two compositions do not coincide — as would always 
be the case, except by a fluke — the composition according 
to consumers’ preferences might evidently rank much higher, 
in terms of individual utilities and welfare, than the compo- 
sition according to the voN NEUMANN criterion. The latter 
would indeed yield a higher rate of overall growth. but many 
commodities might remain unwanted. 
Secondly, as has been argued in Chapter IV, the consu- 
mers who enjoy an increasing per-capita income do not want 
1 proportional increase of all the commodities they consume. 
As soon as their demand for each commodity approaches sa- 
curation, they are bound to spend the incrasing income on 
different goods. This leads us to a stronger conclusion than 
‘he one reached above. The voN NEUMANN concept of maxi- 
mum rate of growth, if applied to a system with technical 
progress, not only may not, but actually can never, correspond 
— not even by a fluke — to the optimum pattern of growth, 
…e., to the pattern of growth that consumers prefer. 
Thirdly and finally, there is also the reverse side of the 
coin. The von NEUMANN approach imposes on the system 
‘he requirement that all commodities should grow at the same 
rate. This is an unjustified restriction. There might well 
be just one commodity in the system which is very dif- 
ficult to produce, in the sense that its production can only 
grow very slowly through time. Now, in the voN NEUMANN 
model, which insists on the requirement that all productions 
must expand at the same rate, that commodity inevitably 
10] Pasinetti - pag. 113
	        

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