SERIES CORRELATED WITH NET EARNINGS 250
TABLE 153
NATURE OF CORRELATION IN PERCENTAGE DEVIATIONS AND YEAR-TO-
YEAR CHANGES IN DIFFERENT SERIES PAIRED
SERIES CORRELATED
Independent Variables
Dependent Variables
Loans and Discounts to Earn-
ing Assets. ..............
Net Earnings to Earning As-
ast
Net Earnings to Earning
Assets. .............u...
Loans and Discounts to Earn-
ing Assets
Total Deposits to Earning
Assets. . oouvwiiomiionisg
Net Earnings to Earning As-
tets
Net Earnings to Earning As-
SES. itera
Total Deposits to Earning
NATURE oF CORRELATION
Differ-
ences
from
Jistrict
Averages
Changes ,
{rom
Year
to
Vaap
Differ-
ences
from
Tountry’s
Yearly
Average
Positive
Positive
Positive
Positive
Negative
None
——
Negative
Negative
Negative
Positive®
Negative
Negative
iw.
ratios of loans and discounts to earning assets larger than the
average will tend to raise the ratio of gross earnings to some-
thing more than 6%. But, as already found, loans and discounts
are also positively correlated with total expense. Accordingly,
if average ratios of loans and discounts are associated with aver-
age ratios of total expense, ratios of loans and discounts higher
than the average will tend to be associated with ratios of total
expense in excess of the average. That is, if the total expense
ratio is 4% under average conditions, it will tend to be in excess
of 4% for series with ratios of loans and discounts in excess
of the average. If both ratios, 6 and 4—gross earnings and total
expense—tend to be high under these conditions, then their
effect on net earnings remains in doubt. It is only when it is
learned that ratios of loans and discounts to earning assets are
also positively correlated with ratios of net earnings to earning
assets, that it becomes apparent that their effect upon gross
earnings is greater than upon total expense, thus making the
ratios of net earnings something above 29% —the amount found,
for purpose of illustration, to characterize average conditions in
respect to loans and discounts.
But forces other than those associated with variable loans and
discounts are tending to influence gross earnings, total expense,
and net earnings. These, among other things, have been found
to be the relative size and type of change in the amounts of total
deposits. Their influences, too, acting simultaneously with those