316
Y
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
one set of Americans who furnished the funds for paying still
another set of Americans. The actual merchandise — the iron
and steel, copper, railway material, motor cars, cotton, leather,
breadstuffs and meat products — went to foreigners. What came
from foreigners was merely some scraps of paper, their govern-
ments’ promises to pay; nay, in sundry cases nothing more than
an entry on the books of the Treasury. Never was the nature of
capital export exhibited more clearly. Goods go out, and for
the time being nothing enters in return. And never before was the
nature of capital export more completely misunderstood. The
country was supposed to receive much and to relinquish nothing;
whereas in fact it parted with much and received nothing.
The curious self-deception of the American public was largely
due to the continued upward movement of prices, the continued
war boom, the specious appearance of wonderful prosperity. And
in this regard there is a sharp difference between the first stage
and the second. The upward movement of prices which had
begun in the latter part of 1915 and had become marked in 1916
went on with swifter pace thru 1917 and 1918. The reader may
be assumed to be familiar with its character and its momentous
consequences. What is pertinent to the problems of international
trade is that during this second stage — 1917 and after — the
price movement was the result of domestic causes only. During
the first stage it had been otherwise. Then the great imports of
gold (during the fiscal years 1916 and 1917) filled the reservoirs of
the banks. The Federal Reserve System, established in 1913,
was just getting on its feet. The inflowing gold supply made its
way into the coffers of the Reserve Banks, and supplied the basis
for a quick and sharp expansion of credit, deposits, and circulating
notes. But when the country entered the war the inflow of gold
ceased. It was no longer necessary for the Allies to muster every
resource — gold, as well as loans and sales of securities — in order
to pay for their purchases. The United States Treasury stepped
in for them.
The operations of the Treasury, however, served to expand the
circulating medium even more effectively than the gold imports