THE MONETARY CRISIS 85
This whole series of phenomena is disconcerting for
those theoretical writers, more or less attached to the
Anglo-Saxon school, who expected that the magic of
deflation would bring about the recovery and even the
stabilisation of the Czech crown, and who, above all,
did not believe it to be possible that with a limited note
issue there should occur either a collapse in the exchange
or a serious rise in prices.
One of the exponents of this theory has been obliged
to admit in a recent work ! that, in view of the interval
of two years between the end of the attempt to deflate
and the final recovery of the Czech crown, “it is really
difficult to attribute this reversal to the measures for the
contraction of purchasing power which were taken
immediately after the war |
He also admits that the rise in prices was produced,
in spite of a wise restriction of the fiduciary currency, by
the collapse in the exchange, and that the fall in prices in
1922 succeeded its recovery.
He even emphasises this observation in the following
passage : “ Far from the exchange rates being influenced
by domestic price movements, prices were exceedingly
sensitive to exchange fluctuations. For the effect of an
internal or external appreciation of the crown was to raise
the price of exported or imported food-stuffs and so of all
other commodities.” 2
But he still finds it surprising that prices could rise
in spite of the initial reduction of the currency.” “ The
rise in prices provoked by the drop in the exchange,” he
adds, “ought surely to have met with an insurmountable
barrier in the shortage of currency.” After all, he con-
cludes that “the facts show that the opposite was the case ;
1 Ch. Rist, “Ia déflation en pratique,” p. 95.
2 And again: “Not only did the two movements begin at the same
moment ; even before there had been a striking resemblance between
their curves. A temporary fall in prices between December 1920 and
July 1921 coincides with a temporary stabilisation of the exchange. The
enormous rise from 1919-1920 was parallel to the decline of the Czech
crown during nine months, from 33 Swiss francs to 9°40 francs.” (Rist,
op. cit., p. 95.)