THE THEORY OF EXCHANGE 155
In any case, if it is true that the exchange rate and the
purchasing power parity influence each other, it hardly
seems possible to hold that irregular rates of exchange can
be determined, in the sense of being limited in their fluctuations,
by a factor such as the purchasing power parity which is
itself constantly being altered by the rate of exchange. It
would be a curious limit which shifted with the pheno-
menon, the movements of which it is supposed to restrict.
Moreover, there are typical instances to show that the
purchasing power parity cannot be considered as a factor
capable of determining the exchange curve and of bring-
ing an exchange back to equilibrium by restoring the
balance of payments; it is enough to consider countries
like Germany, where the exchange fell indefinitely.
No doubt it is possible to give the a priori explanation
that it was the issue of notes which rendered possible the
unlimited depreciation of the German exchange by alter-
ing the purchasing power parity. But it is well known
that from the time when price and exchange movements
became closely bound up with each other in Germany (in
the second half of 1921), the new issues of notes on a large
scale took place afer the rise in prices which made it
imperative to increase the media of payment; the rate at
which the currency increased was so far behind the rate
at which prices rose that this increase cannot be con-
sidered as anything but an alleviation of the currency
contraction arising from the disproportion between the
quantity of instruments of payment and the level of
prices. And so only the following facts should be remem-
bered. Violent exchange fluctuations which cannot be
attributed to a change in the ratio between internal and
external prices have occurred generally for reasons in no
way connected with the state of the balance of pay-
ments nor probably with that of the currency. These
wide exchange fluctuations have not created the corresponding
Rev. Econ. Int. of February 1924) M. Aftalion has clearly shown the
decisive influence of exchange movements on internal prices, and demon-
strates from several examples (1) that with stable exchanges internal prices
may remain stable in spite of inflation, and (2) that prices rise, even without
inflation, when the exchanges depreciate.