TO DISCOVER A STABLE STANDARD zor:
mechanism at the present day, whereby the real circulation
is largely independent of the stock of metal.
It is true, of course, that a heavy flow of currency is
likely to stimulate a demand for goods more rapidly than
a corresponding development of credit would increase pro-
duction, but it is .nuch less true that a decrease of the stock
of metal would result in a decrease in the demand for ob-
jects of consumption more quickly than in a contraction
of credit and of production.
In any case, a theory under which the movement of
prices is affected by slight and frequent variations in the
stock of currency seems to us to have neither a logical
basis nor to be capable of proof in view of the large num-
ber of external factors which may come into play. It
therefore seems to us to be entirely useless to attempt to
regulate the monetary standard and even to neutralise the
slight variations in prices which are the inevitable result
of changes in the production and in the markets of various
commodities. On the other hand, experience shows that
apart from rare periods of crisis in which the scarcity of
production, the increase of monetary instruments or the
condition of the exchange may provoke an abnormal rise
in prices, variations in prices are small enough as between
one period and another in a man’s life for it to be possible,
without serious inconvenience, to use money as a standard
of deferred payments.1
Starting therefore from a belief which may be rough and
ready but which avpears to us to rest on a surer basis, that only
very considerable changes in the volume of circulation will pro-
duce equally large variations in the purchasing power of cur-
rency, we will confine ourselves to the conclusion that the main-
tenance of approximate stability in the purchasing power of a
currency presupposes the maintenance of the circulation without
any great changes at a figure corresponding to the price level
Which it is desired to maintain.
Moreover, it should be remembered that this is not the
only condition for approximate stabilisation, for experience
! Except as we have shown above, in so far as it may be possible to apply
a coefficient based on the index of retail prices for long-term contracts.