NORMAL EXCHANGES 215
currency; this lowers prices and by stimulating exports
restores equilibrium.! The same notion is put forward
in a more modern form by emphasising the part played
in international exchanges by exchange fluctuations;
the depreciation of the national monetary unit in
relation to foreign currencies helps to send up the in-
ternal price both of imported and exported goods. It
therefore restricts imports and stimulates exports and so
has a double effect in bringing about equilibrium in inter-
national trade and so restoring the exchange. As regards
the first of these theories, that of Ricardo, it is not neces-
sary to emphasise the loopholes in his argument.? It will
be observed that it only applies to the trade balance and
that it attributes to sma// fluctuations in the volume of metal
currency an effect on the entire monetary circulation and
on prices, which is neither demonstrable a priori nor sus-
ceptible of proof. As regards the second theory, which
has already been examined, it rests on much more accurate
1 This same theory of Ricardo (High Price of Bullion) also claims to
account for the distribution of precious metals in the world; as their
excess production sends up prices in the producing countries the trade
balance of those countries continually shows a deficit and so the precious
metals flow to other countries. In the course of an inquiry made locally
shortly after the opening up of the gold mines in Western Australia, the
author observed that the local rise in prices was from the beginning due to
difficulties of transport and to the ease with which a monopoly could be
created, and in no way affected the rest of the country. On the contrary,
prices in Western Australia were determined by prices at Sidney (see the
author’s article “Contribution a une Théorie Réaliste de la Monnaie” in
the Revue d’économie politique, 1906). It should be added that Australia,
which is a large gold-producing country and has an ample circulation
(larger in 1913 per head than the French circulation), had preserved up to
the end of the 19th century a much lower price level than that existing in
European countries. It is therefore demonstrable that the mechanism of dis-
tribution as conceived by Ricardo does not explain the actual distribution
of Australian gold. The flow of gold to Europe appears mainly to result
from the necessity of paying dividends on European capital and from the
difficulty experienced by a new country, which devotes a large part of its
productive forces to the exploitation of gold or silver mines, in developing
its other export industries sufficiently to meet the debit side of its trade
balance otherwise than by the export of precious metal.
2 See on this point the author’s “Le Réle de la Monnaie dans le Com-
merce International et la Théorie Quantitative,” thesis, Paris, 1904.