230 MODERN MONETARY SYSTEMS
very simple hypothesis ; over against a stationary supply it
sets a variable demand corresponding directly to the
quantity of money brought on the market. It is not
possible without important reservations to compare such
a market to a whole country in which goods continually
appear on the market and where there is no such direct re-
lation between changes in the volume of currency and the
amount of income and capital thrown on the market. In the
first case the disequilibrium between supply and demand
is necessary and evident, even in the case of small changes
in the volume of currency. In the second case the position
is different. For the adjustment of supply to demand is
not a priori impossible. It may take place because a
swollen stock of currency may circulate more slowly; or,
again, production may be stimulated in so far as the agents
of production allow, by an increase in the actual monetary
circulation. Therefore the Quantity Theory is only applic-
able when an increase in the volume of currency is accom-
panied by an increase in demand—and this is not always
evident a priori—and when the rise in demand exceeds any
possible increase in production.
The Quantity Theory is obvious in cases where currency
has been widely expanded. But it is no longer so in cases
where there have been moderate changes in the circulation.
It is therefore impossible to construct theories based on
the supposition that changes in the volume of currency
exercise a continuous action, whatever the quantities in-
volved. Although it may be painful to abandon so con-
venient a rule, we are convinced that scientific work can
lose nothing by giving up ‘‘certainties” which are more real
than the facts themselves. Such easy certainties have only
served as a basis for approximate or erroneous explana-
tions. We have shown that more often than not in cases
where the Quantity Theory taken in the abstract no longer
gives the desired explanation, the old law of supply and
demand, which is at the basis of the Quantity Theory,
supplies, on the contrary, a clear and accurate explanation
when it is applied to the exact data of the problem. For
we have shown that most monetary phenomena are