THE REIGN OF BIMETALLISM 21
of the two metals. For instance, a fall in the stock of
silver could create the necessity of seeking it in the cur-
rency of bimetallist countries, and thus send it to a pre-
mium. But, on this theory, the price of silver, or, in other
words, the commercial ratio between the two metals, does
not depend on the ratio between the amounts of gold and
silver produced, or at least used for minting purposes, but
on the ratio between the amount of each metal available
for the payments for which it was required and the aggre-
gate of these payments.
As is well known, settlements between gold standard
and silver standard countries were, in fact, always effected
during the 19th century by shipments of white metal to
the Far Eastern countries. Their accounts with Europe
generally disclosed a credit balance ; but as this balance
might stand more or less high, the silver on the market
might be more or less than sufficient to meet it.! On the
other hand, the amount of available silver depended, not
only on the amount produced, even after deducting the
requirements of industry, but also on the amounts which
the trade balances of producing countries like Mexico
caused them to throw on the London market.?
1 In India, silver, like gold, has always been imported partly for industrial
use, jewellery, etc. As, however, metal required for this purpose would
have had to be paid for in coin if the trade balance had been unfavourable,
the import of silver into India must be considered as payment in settlement
of European debt to that country.
2 Countries which produce precious metals do not export them merely
because they have a surplus. It is true for various reasons that the pro-
duction of precious metals may produce a trade balance which causes them
to be exported; but the export from monometallist countries necessarily
depends on the trade balance; for instance, no one will import gold specie
if it has to be paid for in gold coin.
The majority of silver-producing countries were bimetallist, and it was
possible in theory to export gold to them in order to procure silver in the
event of its not flowing naturally to the London market in payment of their
debts. But this method of conversion would have been even more expensive
than conversion into the currencies of neighbouring bimetallist countries,
such as France, which were non-producing but possessed a large stock of
both metals. We therefore conclude that the silver on the London market
arrived there chiefly as a result of the payment of debts by producing
countries, and that its amount did not depend directly on production, but
on the quantities required for the trade balance of those countries.