76 MODERN MONETARY SYSTEMS
improvement in the general balance of payments, and
even a rise in the exchange, which may be independent
of the state of the balance of payments. Indeed it was to
be normally expected that the rise in prices accompanying
the revival of production after the war would sooner or
later end in a crisis and in a fall in prices; at the same
time it was normally to be expected that exports would
revive after the removal of the restrictions of the war
period, when freedom of communications had been re-
established and markets had again been thrown open.
Finally, it was normally to be expected that the splendid
fiscal efforts of Great Britain should inspire the greatest
confidence abroad, and thus make it easier to open new
foreign credits or renew old ones, and to induce specu-
lators to take a favourable view. And so it is perhaps
some such psychological factor which must be considered as
the essential connecting link berween these events which,
incidentally, one is not surprised to find coinciding. The
British exchange, a prey to speculation like every other
exchange once it has jumped the physical barriers of the
gold points, did not fail to profit by the vigorous and
courageous policy of the British Government; of that
policy deflation properly so-called, which in 1920 had
only been projected in outline, was merely a secondary
manifestation. Nevertheless the British exchange is on the
whole still unstable.
§ 10. Experiment in Czechoslovakia, based on the classical
principles, produces at first a rise but not a stabilisation
of the exchanges; a rise in prices takes place in spite of
a contraction of the currency. Stabilisation attained in
192 3 results, in practice, from convertibility.
Among the few countries where a systematic attempt
was made to reform the monetary system, Czechoslovakia
deserves particular study. In this country, peculiar in that
it is governed chiefly by university professors and “intel-
lectuals,” the Finance Minister, M. Rasin, devoted him-
self as soon as he came into power to establishing a sound