XVIL.—SIMPLER CASES OF SAMPLING FOR VARIABLES. 349
«+ . . d, from the mean for a large sample from the entire record,
we have
3" dogy igi d
ga = R20 ) + JAP).
Henra
1
or m= (0 7
To _ Sm
= e {10)
The last equation again corresponds precisely with that given for
the same departure from the rules of simple sampling in the case
of attributes (Chap. XIV. § 11., eqn. 4). If, to vary our previous
illustration, we had measured the statures of men in each of »
different districts, and then proceeded to form a set of samples
by taking one man from each district for the first sample, one
man from each district for the second sample, and so on, the
standard-deviation of the means of the samples so formed would
be appreciably less than the standard error of simple sampling
ao/s/n. Asa limiting case, it is evident that if the men in each
district were all of precisely the same stature, the means of all the
samples so compounded would be identical : in such a case, in fact,
oy =8,, and consequently o,,=0. To give another illustration, if
the cards from which we were drawing samples had been arranged
in order of the magnitude of X recorded on each, we would get
a much more stable sample by drawing one card from each
successive nth part of the record than by taking the sample
according to our previous rules—e.g. shaking them up in a bag
and taking out cards blindfold, or using some equivalent process.
The result is perhaps of some practical interest. It shows that,
if we are actually taking samples from a large area, different
districts of which exhibit markedly different means for the
variable under consideration, and are limited to a sample of =n
observations ; if we break up the whole area into n sub-districts,
each as homogeneous as possible, and take a contribution to the
sample from each, we will obtain a more stable mean by this
orderly procedure than will be given, for the same number of
observations, by any process of selecting the districts from which
samples shall be taken by chance. There may, however, be a
greater risk of biassed error. The conclusions seem in accord
with common-sense.
(c) Finally, suppose that, while our conditions (a) and (3) of § 2
hold good, the magnitude of the variable recorded on one card
drawn is no longer independent of the magnitude recorded on
RAG N