CORRELATION BETWEEN FERTILITY, RURAL RESIDENCE, ILLITERACY 215
The reader is left to make a detailed examination of Table 133 for himself and
especially of Column 6. A word of caution, however, is necessary. Large numbers reported
in the census as of Russian and Dutch origin spoke German as the mother tongue, and
there is reason to suppose that many of these were recorded as of German origin on the
birth certificates of their children. Only on such a supposition can the excessively high
figure for the Germans be reconciled with the moderate figure for the Russians and the
very low percentage for the Dutch. Similar discrepancies probably account for the behaviour
of the data for the Roumanians and Serbo-Croatians.
TABLE 133.—BIRTH RATES PER 100 WOMEN, 15-49 YEARS, OF SPECIFIED ORIGINS, IN THE PRAIRIE
PROVINCES, 1926.
Origin
fotal.....
3ritish.... eeiiireenaes
french.....cocevninnens on wT §
AUSEIIATL. Levers
BAIA ve 2 goiirig mms EERE TTR
i. LL LO EAR AR a
Danish. ..... TUB ARERR »
Dutch. ..... Gad wtnhn fran ae
Tinnish..... een aa
JEIMAN. (.vvrt veer enrnrannaeaeen arnas
Jreek....... I av
Jebrew...... RI, L583 §
Jungarian...... a
«celandic..... FEHR ARIAT, 0 Bone oT
talian........ Bindentnd? oman
NOTWORIAN. ..vererierrerrannnanenineernans
TOliSh. Lies eee,
LOUMAIIADL vse eiiire en iaserrnanneananss
VMIARARL ccoqns cnminy spo won EREEREs CARES
lerbo-Orantion. . ccc cvdvimornvnintssns rive
er i TORMMAREE a
IVES nvm dass
Jkrainian........
ly
Expected
rate
1N-2
0-3
0-6
"8
r
Sw
(2)
Actual
rata
10-2
8-4
3-1
4-8
2-3
1%-3
<n
11
1
i
100
(3)
Eszpected
as
percentage
of standard
100-0
100-0
02-9
22-9
30-0
30-0
05-8
1-9
2-3
0-0
98-2
2-0
0-0
“
08-1
4)
Actual
as
percentage
of standard
100-0
81-6
127-3
141-8
80-6
119-4
97-1
76-7
101-0
25:0
125-2
-0
bd
7d
7
re.y
a)
7-0
0
1.7.8
Gol
J 45-8
(5)
Index of
fertility?
standard
= 100
{Col. 2 —
Col. 1)
100
82
124
138
1
fL
1
.3
162
8
180
95
94
149
(8)
Index of
fertility,
taking
index for
British
aa 100
199
100
151
| 168
99
146
112
220
| 118
1156
182
1 In terms of all females. 15-49.
Correlation Between Fertility, Rural Domicile, Illiteracy and Length of Residence in
Canada—Further light is thrown on the subject by the method of multiple correlation.
Table 134 assembles the following data on the Prairie Provinces for the year 1926: (1) index
of fertility from Table 133 for each origin (women 15 to 49); (2) the proportion of women
{21 years and over) rural; (3) the percentage of women (10 years and over) illiterate;
and (4) the percentage of both sexes (21 years and over) North American born. The latter
is used as an index of length of residence. The figure 124 opposite the French in Column 1
means that higher fertility and more favourable conjugal condition caused the birth rate
among women of French origin to be 24 p.c. greater than the rate for the whole pepulation.
Favourable age distribution is eliminated. Similarly, the figure of 82 for the British
stocks signifies that the fertility of the women of these stocks was 18 p.c. below that of the
population as a whole, quite apart from considerations of age. The figures for the Russians,
Germans and Dutch were combined for reasons mentioned above. Complete data
were not available for the Serbo-Croatians, so that that stock had to be omitted.
A multiple correlation was taken in a manner similar to that described in Chapter VI,
with the fertility index as the ‘dependent variable. The exceptionally high coefficient of
+ 8% -05 was the result. The prediction equation was as follows: X3=0-66X3o
+2.86X340.37X 434.80, where
Xi==the index of fertility
Xo=Percentage of women (21 and over) rural.
Xg=Percentage of women (10 and over) illiterate.
Xy==Percentage of both sexes (21 and over) North American born. }
The predicted and actual values appear in Chart 34.
